Stephanie Luciano vs Sam Hughes Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Stephanie Luciano vs Sam Hughes
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Stephanie Luciano will battle Sam Hughes at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The odds have Luciano priced at -238 while Hughes is coming in at +195.
Stephanie "Rondinha" Luciano steps into the cage with a record of 6-1-1. The 25-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Sam "Sampage" Hughes measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 64". Regarding significant strikes, Stephanie Luciano is landing 5.30 per min while Sam Hughes is landing 4.33 significant strikes per min. Luciano is landing 48% of the significant strikes she attempts and Hughes connects on 46%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Rondinha" takes 2.53 significant strikes per minute and "Sampage" absorbs 4.46. Luciano also deflects 68% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Hughes defends against 56% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 104 | Stephanie Luciano | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -238 | +195 |
| Record | 6-1-1 | 9-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 13:46 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 65" | 64" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.30 | 4.33 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 46% |
Concerning wrestling, Stephanie Luciano is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Luciano is scoring a takedown on 85% of the times she tries and is defending 85% of all takedown attempts. Hughes is scoring a takedown on 30% of the takedowns she tries and thwarting 60% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to submissions, Luciano is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Hughes attempts 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.
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In her previous bout, Stephanie Luciano squared up with Talita Alencar and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Alencar ended up landing 45 of 159 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Luciano finished this fight landing 87 of 190 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Alencar landed 41 of 151, giving her a percentage of 27%. She ended up landing 20 of 100 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Luciano landed 41% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 72 of 175. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 49 of 139 aimed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Alencar and 91% of them landed by Luciano were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Sam Hughes, she squared up with Viktoriia Dudakova and wound up taking home the win by way of split decision in round 3. Dudakova landed 81% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Hughes ended up landing 88% of her significant strikes at distance. Hughes ended up connecting on 50% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 97 of 193. She ended up connecting on 65 of 147 significant strikes to the head. Dudakova ended up landing 61 of 144 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 45 of 122 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that she let go in that contest, Dudakova ended up landing 104 of 199 while Hughes ended up connecting on 139 of 240 of all the strikes she threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Josiane Nunes fights Priscila Cachoeira. Nunes steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'2". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Cachoeira comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 12-6-0. The 36-year-old stretches 65". Regarding grappling, Josiane Nunes is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes and Priscila Cachoeira takes her opponents to the canvas 0.15 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Nunes connects for an average of 5.41 strikes/minute and is landing 42% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Priscila Cachoeira, who is landing 44% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 3.76 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Carli Judice is set to go up against Yuneisy Duben. Duben looks to add a win to her total of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Judice comes in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 3-2-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 68". Regarding takedowns, Yuneisy Duben is thwarting 15% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times she tries. Judice is taking her opponents down on 25% of her tries and is able to stop 70% of all takedown tries against her. In the category of striking, Duben is absorbing 11.51 strikes per minute and she is landing 20.55 per min. Judice, on the other side, is absorbing 10.10 strikes/min and deals 11.23 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Stephanie Luciano (-238)
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