SeungWoo Choi vs Kevin Vallejos Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
SeungWoo Choi vs Kevin Vallejos
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
SeungWoo Choi will battle Kevin Vallejos at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The opening moneyline has Choi priced at +390 while Vallejos is at -520.
SeungWoo "Sting" Choi has a record of 11-7-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Kevin "El Chino" Vallejos stands 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-1-0. The 23-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Concerning significant strikes, SeungWoo Choi is landing 3.51 per min while Kevin Vallejos is landing 6.85 significant strikes per min. Choi lands 39% of the significant strikes he throws and Vallejos connects on 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Sting" takes 3.12 significant strikes per minute while "El Chino" allows 5.81. Choi also thwarts 47% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Vallejos curbs 55% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 104 | SeungWoo Choi | Kevin Vallejos |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +390 | -520 |
| Record | 11-7-0 | 14-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:29 | 8:42 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.51 | 6.85 |
| Striking Accuracy | 39% | 51% |
Concerning wrestling, SeungWoo Choi is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is able to score a takedown 0.86 times per 3 rds. Choi is scoring a takedown on 54% of his attempts and defending 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Vallejos is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown tries and defending 66% of the tries against him. When it comes to submissions, Choi is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 finishes per 3 rds while Vallejos goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his previous bout, SeungWoo Choi squared up with Steve Garcia and was on the losing end of this fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Garcia ended up landing 18 of 34 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Choi ended the night having landed 9 of 16 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Garcia landed 15 of 27, which gave him a percentage of 55%. He landed 10 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Choi ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 9 of 15. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 13 aimed at the head. 60% of the significant strikes connected on by Garcia and 100% of them landed by Choi were tallied at a distance.
In the last fight for Kevin Vallejos, he squared up with Cam Teague and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Teague ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Vallejos connected on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Vallejos landed 64% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 48 of 74. He connected on 24 of 47 significant strikes aimed at the head. Teague ended up connecting on 14 of 51 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 9 of 45 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Teague was 14 of 51 and Vallejos landed 48 of 74 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Alexander Hernandez enters the Octagon against Kurt Holobaugh. Hernandez comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-8-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Holobaugh comes in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 22-8-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old has an arm span of 70". When it comes to grappling, Alexander Hernandez takes his opponents to the canvas 0.95 times per 3 rounds while Kurt Holobaugh scores a takedown 0.76 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Hernandez is landing 4.43 strikes/minute and connecting on 41% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Kurt Holobaugh, who lands 45% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.63 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Cody Gibson is set to square up in the Octagon against Da'Mon Blackshear. Blackshear has a career record of 15-7-1. The 30-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Gibson measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-10-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 71". Concerning grappling, Da'Mon Blackshear is preventing 68% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of the times he tries. Gibson is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Blackshear takes 4.06 strikes per min and he dishes out 4.30 strikes per minute. Gibson, at the same time, takes 3.36 strikes per minute and deals 3.47 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take SeungWoo Choi (+390)
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