Sergei Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Pick, 02/01/2025 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds
Sergei Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
UFC Saudi Arabia
ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Saturday, February 1, 2025
Sergei Pavlovich will take on Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, February 1, 2025. The opening moneyline has Pavlovich coming in at -305 while Rozenstruik is coming in at +245.
Sergei Pavlovich will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 257 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 84". Jairzinho "Bigi Boy" Rozenstruik stands 6'2" and is fighting at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-5-0. The 36-year-old reaches 78". In terms of significant strikes, Sergei Pavlovich is landing 5.86 per minute while Jairzinho Rozenstruik is connecting on 3.75 significant strikes per min. Pavlovich is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Rozenstruik is landing 49%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Pavlovich allows 5.03 significant strikes per minute while "Bigi Boy" takes 2.74. Pavlovich also defends against 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Rozenstruik thwarts 51% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Saudi Arabia | Sergei Pavlovich | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -305 | +245 |
| Record | 18-3-0 | 15-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 3:39 | 9:04 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 257 lbs | 242 lbs |
| Reach | 84" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.86 | 3.75 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 49% |
When it comes to wrestling, Sergei Pavlovich is the more effective grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Pavlovich is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts and stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Rozenstruik is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Pavlovich is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.9 submissions per 15 min while Rozenstruik goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sergei Pavlovich squared up with Alexander Volkov and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Volkov ended up landing 83 of 160 total strikes that he let go. Pavlovich walked away from this fight having landed 46 of 134 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Volkov landed 83 of 159, giving him a percentage of 52%. He ended up landing 35 of 89 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Pavlovich ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by connecting on 46 of 134. Of those significant strikes, he was 38 of 120 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Volkov and 100% of them landed by Pavlovich were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Jairzinho Rozenstruik, he squared up with Tai Tuivasa and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Tuivasa landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Rozenstruik landed 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rozenstruik ended up landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 91 of 184. He ended up landing 58 of 146 significant strikes to the head. Tuivasa connected on 37 of 126 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 19 of 92 aimed at the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Tuivasa connected on 37 of 126 and Rozenstruik landed 92 of 185 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Said Nurmagomedov fights Vinicius Oliveira. Nurmagomedov looks to add a win to his career record of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Oliveira measures 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 21-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Said Nurmagomedov takes his opponents to the canvas 1.01 times per 15 min while Vinicius Oliveira is able to score a takedown 1.38 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Nurmagomedov connects on 3.55 strikes per min and lands 47% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Vinicius Oliveira, who tags his opponent on 43% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 5.87 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Kaan Ofli is set to encounter Muhammad Naimov. Naimov steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Ofli measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-1. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 66". In terms of wrestling, Muhammad Naimov deflects 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 30% of his tries. Ofli is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries and prevents 15% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Naimov is taking 4.28 strikes per minute while he connects on 3.18 per minute. Ofli, in contrast, is absorbing 4.77 strikes per minute and is connecting on 1.85 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sergei Pavlovich (-305)
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