Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Carlston Harris Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Carlston Harris
UFC Vegas 101
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Santiago Ponzinibbio will battle Carlston Harris at UFC Vegas 101 on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The opening odds have Ponzinibbio coming in at -120 while Harris is at +100.
Santiago "Argentine Dagger" Ponzinibbio steps into the cage with a mark of 30-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Carlston "Mocambique" Harris stands 6'0" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-6-0. The 37-year-old stretches 76". Concerning significant strikes, Santiago Ponzinibbio lands 4.74 per minute while Carlston Harris is connecting on 3.18 significant strikes per minute. Ponzinibbio is landing 41% of the significant strikes he throws while Harris is landing 49%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Argentine Dagger" allows 4.55 significant strikes per min while "Mocambique" allows 2.66. Ponzinibbio also stops 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Harris stops 52% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 101 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Carlston Harris |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -120 | +100 |
Record | 30-8-0 | 19-6-0 |
Average Fight Time | 11:14 | 6:20 |
Height | 6'0" | 6'0" |
Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
Reach | 73" | 76" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.74 | 3.18 |
Striking Accuracy | 41% | 49% |
Concerning wrestling, Santiago Ponzinibbio is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.59 times per 15 min. Ponzinibbio is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of his tries and stuffing 66% of all takedown attempts. Harris is taking his opponents to the mat on 29% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 55% of the tries against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Ponzinibbio is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Harris attempts 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Santiago Ponzinibbio went up against Muslim Salikhov and was defeated by split decision in round 3. Salikhov landed 69 of 146 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Ponzinibbio finished this fight landing 42 of 118 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Salikhov ended up landing 46 of 121, which gave him a rate of 38%. He landed 20 of 87 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Ponzinibbio ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by connecting on 41 of 117. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 31 of 102 aimed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Salikhov and 97% of them connected on by Ponzinibbio were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Carlston Harris, he battled Khaos Williams and took a loss on the night by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Williams ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Harris landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Harris ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 14 of 30. He ended up connecting on 10 of 25 significant strikes to the head. Williams landed 12 of 20 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 5 of 9 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Williams was 12 of 20 and Harris connected on 14 of 30 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Cesar Almeida squares up against Abdul Razak Alhassan. Almeida steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 6-1-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Razak Alhassan measures 5'10" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-6-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding grappling, Cesar Almeida is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds and Abdul Razak Alhassan takes his opponents to the mat 0.88 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Almeida is landing 4.12 strikes/minute and connects on 57% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Abdul Razak Alhassan, who connects on 49% of his attempted strikes and is landing 3.62 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Roman Kopylov is set to square up with Chris Curtis. Curtis walks into the cage holding a record of 31-11-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Kopylov measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 75". In terms of grappling, Chris Curtis is able to stop 82% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries. Kopylov is taking his opponents down on 53% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 87% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Curtis absorbs 6.16 strikes per minute and he is landing 5.76 strikes per min. Kopylov, moreover, is taking 4.06 strikes/min and is landing 4.33 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Santiago Ponzinibbio (-120)
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