Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds

Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev

UFC Des Moines

Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Saturday, May 3, 2025

Ryan Loder will enter the Octagon against Azamat Bekoev at UFC Des Moines on Saturday, May 3, 2025. The opener has Loder coming in at +300 while Bekoev is at -380.

Ryan "Man of Steel" Loder comes into this bout with a mark of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 76". Azamat "Iron" Bekoev stands in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 19-3-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Ryan Loder is connecting on 6.16 per min while Azamat Bekoev lands 6.85 significant strikes per min. Loder lands 80% of the significant strikes he throws while Bekoev is landing 80%. In terms of defending themselves, "Man of Steel" allows 0.15 significant strikes per minute and "Iron" absorbs 4.24. Loder also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Bekoev is able to deflect 45% of the strikes thrown his way.

Regarding wrestling, Ryan Loder is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.20 times per 15 minutes. Loder is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of his tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Bekoev is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 15% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Loder is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 2.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Bekoev attempts 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Ryan Loder fought Robert Valentin and wound up getting the victory via elbows to the head in round 2. Valentin ended up landing 5 of 6 total strikes attempted in that contest. Loder finished this fight landing 63 of 73 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Valentin ended up landing 1 of 2, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He ended up landing 1 of 2 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Loder ended up landing 80% of his significant strikes by landing 42 of 52. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 41 of 51 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Valentin and 2% of them landed by Loder were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Azamat Bekoev, he squared up with Zachary Reese and ended up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Reese ended up connecting on 7% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bekoev ended up landing 14% of his significant strikes at distance. Bekoev connected on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 21 of 26. He ended up connecting on 16 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. Reese ended up landing 13 of 24 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 13 of 22 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Reese connected on 22 of 35 while Bekoev was 52 of 59 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Gaston Bolanos battles Quang Le. Bolanos looks to add a win to his career record of 8-4-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Le measures in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of takedowns, Gaston Bolanos takes his opponents to the canvas 0.78 times per 3 rounds while Quang Le scores a takedown 1.70 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Bolanos lands an average of 3.74 strikes per minute and lands 50% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Quang Le, who connects on 35% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 3.02 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Don'Tale Mayes is set to face off against Thomas Petersen. Petersen walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Mayes measures in at 6'6" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-8-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 81". In terms of grappling, Thomas Petersen deflects 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 46% of his attempts. Mayes is finishing his takedowns on 38% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Petersen is absorbing 3.99 strikes per minute and he is landing 4.45 per minute. Mayes, in contrast, takes 3.77 strikes/min and lands 3.49 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ryan Loder (+300)

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