Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/26/2025

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas

UFC Mexico City

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, March 29, 2025

Ronaldo Rodriguez will face off with Kevin Borjas at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, March 29, 2025. The opening moneyline has Rodriguez coming in at -170 while Borjas is coming in at +142.

Ronaldo "Lazy Boy" Rodriguez has a mark of 17-2-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Kevin "El Gallo Negro" Borjas measures 5'5" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-3-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 68". With respect to significant strikes, Ronaldo Rodriguez lands 2.13 per min while Kevin Borjas is connecting on 4.92 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez lands 44% of the significant strikes he tries and Borjas lands 40%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Lazy Boy" allows 3.15 significant strikes per minute while "El Gallo Negro" takes 6.70. Rodriguez also prevents 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Borjas is able to defend against 49% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Ronaldo Rodriguez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	Ronaldo Rodriguez	Kevin Borjas
Opening Odds	-170	+142
Record	17-2-0	9-3-0
Average Fight Time	13:20	12:12
Height	5'6"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	65"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.13	4.92
Striking Accuracy	44%	40%

In terms of wrestling, Ronaldo Rodriguez is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.13 times per 3 rounds. Rodriguez is scoring a takedown on 50% of his attempts and is defending 64% of all takedown attempts. Borjas is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 61% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Rodriguez is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Borjas looks to get 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Ronaldo Rodriguez squared up with Ode Osbourne and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Osbourne landed 55 of 93 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Rodriguez walked away from this fight having landed 68 of 117 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Osbourne ended up landing 37 of 68, which means his percentage was 54%. He finished the fight landing 28 of 59 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Rodriguez ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 35 of 69. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 29 of 61 pointed at the head. 59% of the significant strikes landed by Osbourne and 28% of them connected on by Rodriguez were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kevin Borjas, he battled Alessandro Costa and wound up walking away in defeat by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Costa connected on 54% of his significant strikes at distance while Borjas connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Borjas landed 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 18 of 56. He ended up connecting on 12 of 45 significant strikes directed at the head. Costa ended up landing 46 of 86 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 32 of 66 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Costa ended up landing 60 of 104 while Borjas landed 18 of 56 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Edgar Chairez squares up against CJ Vergara. Chairez holds a career record of 11-6-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Vergara comes in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-6-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding grappling, Edgar Chairez gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds and CJ Vergara is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Chairez lands an average of 3.45 strikes per min and is connecting on 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got CJ Vergara, who connects on 56% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 5.10 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ateba Gautier is set to face off against Jose Daniel Medina. Daniel Medina walks into the cage holding a record of 11-4-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Gautier stands 6'4" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 6-1-0. The 22-year-old stretches 81". Concerning wrestling, Jose Daniel Medina is able to defend against 31% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his attempts. Gautier is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the tries he takes and defends against 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Daniel Medina is taking 4.93 strikes/min while he deals 1.87 per minute. Gautier, at the same time, takes 1.22 strikes per min and deals 5.33 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kevin Borjas (+142)

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Ronaldo Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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