Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/15/2025

Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Ricky Turcios will take on Benardo Sopaj at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The opening odds have Turcios coming in at +280 while Sopaj is at -355.

Ricky Turcios will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Benardo "Lion King" Sopaj measures 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-3-0. The 24-year-old reaches 66". Regarding significant strikes, Ricky Turcios is connecting on 4.63 per minute while Benardo Sopaj is landing 3.06 significant strikes per min. Turcios is connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he attempts while Sopaj lands 52%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Turcios takes 3.34 significant strikes per min and "Lion King" allows 4.56. Turcios also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Sopaj is able to stop 53% of them.

ufc picks Ricky Turcios ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Ricky Turcios	Benardo Sopaj
Opening Odds	+280	-355
Record	13-4-0	11-3-0
Average Fight Time	13:28	14:41
Height	5'9"	5'6"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	71"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.63	3.06
Striking Accuracy	37%	52%

In the category of takedowns, Ricky Turcios is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.89 times per 15 minutes. Turcios is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries and defending 45% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Sopaj is scoring a takedown on 75% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Turcios is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Sopaj attempts 0.9 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Ricky Turcios squared up with Raul Rosas Jr. and wound up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Jr. ended up landing 25 of 34 total strikes attempted in that fight. Turcios ended the night having landed 64 of 78 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Jr. landed 3 of 9, giving him a percentage of 33%. He landed 2 of 7 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Turcios landed 46% of his significant strikes by landing 7 of 15. Out of those significant strikes, he was 3 of 10 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes connected on by Jr. and 85% of them connected on by Turcios were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Benardo Sopaj, he went up against Vinicius Oliveira and wound up walking away in defeat via a flying knee to the head in round 3. Oliveira ended up landing 73% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Sopaj ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Sopaj ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 45 of 86. He landed 42 of 81 significant strikes directed at the head. Oliveira ended up connecting on 67 of 144 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 39 of 91 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Oliveira ended up connecting on 88 of 170 while Sopaj was 92 of 146 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Tagir Ulanbekov encounters Clayton Carpenter. Ulanbekov will be looking to add a win to his career total of 15-2-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Carpenter comes in at 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 66". When it comes to grappling, Tagir Ulanbekov is able to score a takedown 3.71 times per 3 rds and Clayton Carpenter gets a takedown 2.95 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Ulanbekov tags his opponents 3.22 strikes per minute and is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Clayton Carpenter, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 4.56 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ailin Perez is set to square up against Karol Rosa. Rosa walks into the cage holding a record of 18-6-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Perez measures 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career mark of 11-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 66". Concerning wrestling, Karol Rosa is able to deflect 68% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 46% of her tries. Perez is taking her opponents down on 51% of the attempts she tries and is able to defend against 66% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Rosa takes 4.91 strikes per minute and she is landing 6.49 strikes per min. Perez, at the same time, is taking 1.34 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Benardo Sopaj (-355)

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Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

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