Rhys McKee vs Daniel Frunza Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

Rhys McKee vs Daniel Frunza

UFC Vegas 105

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Rhys McKee will battle Daniel Frunza at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The opening line has McKee at +136 while Frunza is priced at -162.

Rhys "Skeletor" McKee holds a record of 13-6-1. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Daniel Frunza stands 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 73". With respect to significant strikes, Rhys McKee lands 4.80 per min while Daniel Frunza is connecting on 4.94 significant strikes per min. McKee is landing 45% of the significant strikes he tries and Frunza connects on 44%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Skeletor" allows 7.85 significant strikes per min and Frunza takes 5.53. McKee also defends 42% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Frunza curbs 51% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Rhys McKee is the better wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.90 times per 15 min. McKee is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries and thwarting 41% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Frunza is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, McKee is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Frunza tries 0.8 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Rhys McKee fought Chidi Njokuani and ended up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Njokuani ended up landing 96 of 139 total strikes that he let go in that fight. McKee walked away from this fight having landed 40 of 105 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Njokuani landed 64 of 98, which means his percentage was 65%. He landed 17 of 40 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, McKee ended up landing 32% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 30 of 93. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 21 of 80 to the head. 71% of the significant strikes landed by Njokuani and 93% of them connected on by McKee were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Daniel Frunza, he went up against Vadym Kutsyi and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Kutsyi landed 65% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Frunza ended up connecting on 69% of his significant strikes at distance. Frunza landed 44% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 42 of 95. He landed 32 of 77 significant strikes aimed at the head. Kutsyi ended up landing 47 of 97 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 36 of 85 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Kutsyi ended up landing 75 of 137 and Frunza ended up landing 69 of 126 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Diana Belbita faces off with Dione Barbosa. Belbita looks to add a win to her career total of 15-9-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Barbosa stands in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". In terms of takedowns, Diana Belbita is able to score a takedown 0.91 times per 15 minutes while Dione Barbosa takes her opponents to the mat 1.73 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Belbita is landing 6.54 strikes per min and landing 42% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Dione Barbosa, who connects on 48% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 1.85 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Istela Nunes is set to square up in the Octagon with Loma Lookboonmee. Lookboonmee looks to add a victory to her career total of 9-3-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Nunes comes in at 5'4" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 6-5-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 66". Regarding wrestling, Loma Lookboonmee is able to stop 72% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 50% of her tries. Nunes is taking her opponents to the mat on 15% of her tries and is able to curb 50% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Lookboonmee absorbs 2.48 strikes per min and she is dealing 4.10 per minute. Nunes, on the contrary, absorbs 4.84 strikes per min and deals 5.02 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daniel Frunza (-162)

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