Preston Parsons vs Jacobe Smith Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/7/2025

Preston Parsons vs Jacobe Smith

UFC Vegas 101

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, January 11, 2025

Preston Parsons will face off against Jacobe Smith at UFC Vegas 101 on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The opener has Parsons at +150 while Smith is priced at -355.

Preston "Pressure" Parsons will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 11-5-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Jacobe "Cobe" Smith comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Preston Parsons connects on 3.50 per minute and Jacobe Smith lands 6.95 significant strikes per min. Parsons lands 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Smith connects on 76%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Pressure" absorbs 3.12 significant strikes per minute and "Cobe" absorbs 1.39. Parsons also defends 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Smith is able to curb 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Preston Parsons ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 101	Preston Parsons	Jacobe Smith
Opening Odds	+150	-355
Record	11-5-0	9-0-0
Average Fight Time	12:45	7:55
Height	5'11"	5'10"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	71"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.50	6.95
Striking Accuracy	51%	76%

In terms of grappling, Preston Parsons is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 3.53 times per 3 rounds. Parsons is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of the times he tries and is defending 71% of all takedown tries against him. Smith is finishing his takedown attempts on 87% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 15% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Parsons is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 2.4 finishes per 15 min while Smith tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Preston Parsons faced Oban Elliott and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Elliott ended up landing 49 of 142 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Parsons ended the night having landed 71 of 133 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Elliott landed 44 of 125, which gave him a percentage of 35%. He landed 36 of 116 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Parsons ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by landing 36 of 93. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 15 of 66 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Elliott and 86% of them connected on by Parsons were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Jacobe Smith, he faced off with Christien Savoie and ended up getting the victory in the fight by an elbow to the head in round 2. Savoie ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Smith landed 20% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Smith landed 76% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 55 of 72. He ended up connecting on 49 of 65 significant strikes to the head. Savoie ended up landing 11 of 24 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 1 of 13 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Savoie ended up connecting on 13 of 26 while Smith landed 65 of 85 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Nurullo Aliev meets Joe Solecki. Aliev comes into this fight with a mark of 9-0-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Solecki measures in at 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-5-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 70". When it comes to grappling, Nurullo Aliev scores a takedown 3.06 times per 15 min while Joe Solecki is able to score a takedown 2.23 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Aliev is landing 2.50 strikes/min and is landing 51% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Joe Solecki, who connects on 56% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 1.98 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Bruno Lopes is set to enter the Octagon against Magomed Gadzhiyasulov. Gadzhiyasulov walks into the cage with a mark of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Lopes stands 6'2" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". In the category of takedowns, Magomed Gadzhiyasulov thwarts 57% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 91% of the times he tries. Lopes is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Gadzhiyasulov takes 1.37 strikes per min and he is dishing out 3.30 strikes/min. Lopes, in contrast, is absorbing 4.07 strikes/minute and deals 3.69 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Preston Parsons (+150)

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Preston Parsons vs Jacobe Smith Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds

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