Payton Talbott vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/15/2025

Payton Talbott vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Payton Talbott will enter the Octagon against Raoni Barcelos at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The opening odds have Talbott at -1200 while Barcelos is coming in at +750.

Payton Talbott steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Raoni Barcelos measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 18-5-0. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 67". Concerning significant strikes, Payton Talbott is connecting on 8.38 per min and Raoni Barcelos connects on 5.22 significant strikes per min. Talbott connects on 55% of the significant strikes he attempts while Barcelos is landing 51%. In terms of defending in the cage, Talbott allows 3.57 significant strikes per minute and Barcelos absorbs 4.79. Talbott also stops 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Barcelos thwarts 61% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Payton Talbott ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Payton Talbott	Raoni Barcelos
Opening Odds	-1200	+750
Record	9-0-0	18-5-0
Average Fight Time	7:55	12:29
Height	5'10"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	70"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	8.38	5.22
Striking Accuracy	55%	51%

Concerning wrestling, Payton Talbott is the not as competent as a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. Talbott is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and is stopping 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Barcelos is finishing his takedown tries on 32% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the submission, Talbott is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Barcelos goes for 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

Get all of our UFC Picks Today

In his last bout, Payton Talbott faced Yanis Ghemmouri and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Ghemmouri landed 1 of 2 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Talbott finished this fight landing 13 of 13 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Ghemmouri ended up landing 1 of 2, which means his percentage was 50%. He finished the fight landing 0 of 1 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Talbott ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 13 of 13. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 12 of 12 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Ghemmouri and 30% of them connected on by Talbott were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Raoni Barcelos, he faced off with Cristian Quinonez and wound up getting the win by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Quinonez ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Barcelos ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Barcelos ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 43 of 74. He ended up connecting on 26 of 54 significant strikes directed at the head. Quinonez landed 29 of 82 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 17 of 67 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Quinonez ended up connecting on 43 of 99 while Barcelos ended up connecting on 48 of 81 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Jailton Almeida squares up with Serghei Spivac. Almeida will be looking to add a win to his career total of 21-3-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Spivac measures 6'3" and records a weight of 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 17-4-0. The 29-year-old reaches 78". When it comes to grappling, Jailton Almeida takes his opponents down 6.85 times per 15 min while Serghei Spivac is able to score a takedown 4.63 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Almeida connects for an average of 2.46 strikes per minute and connects on 64% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Serghei Spivac, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.51 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Diego Ferreira is set to take on Grant Dawson. Dawson steps into the cage holding a mark of 22-2-1. The 30-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Ferreira stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-5-0. The 39-year-old stretches 74". In terms of wrestling, Grant Dawson is able to thwart 57% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his tries. Ferreira is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his tries and deflects 60% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Dawson absorbs 2.04 strikes/min while he is connecting on 3.15 strikes/min. Ferreira, at the same time, absorbs 3.43 strikes/min and lands 5.04 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Raoni Barcelos (+750)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	January 15, 2025 @ 7:00 PM
Expert:	Scott Spreitzer
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Payton Talbott vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks