Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/2/2025

Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito

UFC Vegas 105

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Pat Sabatini will face off with Joanderson Brito at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The opener has Sabatini at +180 while Brito is at -218.

Pat Sabatini holds a career record of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Joanderson "Tubarao" Brito measures 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-4-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". With respect to significant strikes, Pat Sabatini lands 1.94 per min while Joanderson Brito is connecting on 3.02 significant strikes per minute. Sabatini connects on 59% of the significant strikes he tries while Brito lands 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, Sabatini allows 1.47 significant strikes per minute and "Tubarao" takes 2.70. Sabatini also stops 48% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Brito is able to stop 44% of them.

ufc picks Pat Sabatini ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 105	Pat Sabatini	Joanderson Brito
Opening Odds	+180	-218
Record	19-5-0	17-4-1
Average Fight Time	7:33	7:55
Height	5'8"	5'8"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.94	3.02
Striking Accuracy	59%	50%

In terms of wrestling, Pat Sabatini is the more effective wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.97 times per 15 minutes. Sabatini is scoring a takedown on 44% of his attempts and stopping 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. Brito is getting his opponent to the mat on 68% of his takedown attempts and defending 72% of the tries against him. In terms of submissions, Sabatini is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 2.0 submissions per 3 rds while Brito goes for 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Pat Sabatini went up against Jonathan Pearce and ended up winning this fight via rear naked choke in round 1. Pearce landed 32 of 32 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Sabatini walked away from this fight having landed 19 of 25 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Pearce ended up landing 2 of 2, which gave him a rate of 100%. He landed 0 of 0 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Sabatini ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 3 of 5. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 2 of 4 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Pearce and 33% of them connected on by Sabatini were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Joanderson Brito, he squared up with William Gomis and walked away with a loss by split decision in round 3. Gomis ended up landing 69% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Brito connected on 79% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Brito landed 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 29 of 67. He ended up connecting on 9 of 39 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gomis ended up connecting on 43 of 71 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 16 of 35 directed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Gomis connected on 69 of 101 and Brito ended up landing 57 of 105 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Cortavious Romious squares up in the Octagon against ChangHo Lee. Romious will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Lee stands in at 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to grappling, Cortavious Romious is averaging a takedown 1.97 times per 15 minutes and ChangHo Lee scores a takedown 3.24 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Romious connects for an average of 2.10 strikes per min and lands 37% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have ChangHo Lee, who is connecting on 70% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 4.90 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Martin Buday is set to encounter Kennedy Nzechukwu. Nzechukwu will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-5-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 236 lbs and stands 6'5". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 83". Buday stands in at 6'4" and records a weight of 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 14-2-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding wrestling, Kennedy Nzechukwu stops 81% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his attempts. Buday is taking his opponents down on 25% of his tries and thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Nzechukwu is taking 4.89 strikes per min and he is landing 5.37 per minute. Buday, on the other side, takes 5.54 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Joanderson Brito (-218)

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Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

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