Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes Pick, 04/12/2025 Predictions UFC 314 Odds

Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes

UFC 314

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 12, 2025

Nikita Krylov will enter the Octagon against Dominick Reyes at UFC 314 on Saturday, April 12, 2025. The odds have Krylov at -175 while Reyes is priced at +145.

Nikita "The Miner" Krylov steps into the Octagon with a mark of 30-9-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Dominick "The Devastator" Reyes measures in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 14-4-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Nikita Krylov is landing 4.38 per min while Dominick Reyes lands 5.64 significant strikes per minute. Krylov is landing 55% of the significant strikes he throws while Reyes connects on 54%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Miner" allows 2.47 significant strikes per min while "The Devastator" allows 3.59. Krylov also prevents 44% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Reyes is able to deflect 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning takedowns, Nikita Krylov is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.29 times per 3 rds. Krylov is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his tries and is stuffing 53% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Reyes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 82% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Krylov is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Reyes tries 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Nikita Krylov fought Ryan Spann and wound up taking home the victory via a triangle choke in round 1. Spann ended up landing 5 of 11 total strikes attempted in that fight. Krylov ended the night having landed 24 of 31 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Spann landed 5 of 11, giving him a percentage of 45%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 10 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Krylov ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 7 of 12. Of those significant strikes, he landed 2 of 7 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Spann and 42% of them landed by Krylov were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Dominick Reyes, he faced off with Anthony Smith and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Smith connected on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Reyes ended up connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Reyes landed 74% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 121 of 162. He ended up landing 110 of 149 significant strikes directed at the head. Smith connected on 21 of 46 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 14 of 36 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Smith connected on 24 of 49 and Reyes landed 172 of 232 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Dan Ige squares up against Sean Woodson. Ige steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Woodson stands 6'2" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 13-1-1. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 78". When it comes to grappling, Dan Ige gets a takedown 0.99 times per 3 rounds while Sean Woodson is averaging a takedown 0.63 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Ige tags his opponents 3.66 strikes/minute and connecting on 45% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Sean Woodson, who connects on 46% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.66 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Chase Hooper is set to battle Jim Miller. Miller walks into the cage holding a mark of 38-18-0 (1 NC). The 41-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 71". Hooper measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-3-1. The 25-year-old extends his reach 74". In the category of takedowns, Jim Miller defends against 49% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his tries. Hooper is finishing his takedowns on 27% of the attempts he tries and defends against 57% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Miller absorbs 3.51 strikes/minute while he connects on 2.99 strikes/minute. Hooper, at the same time, takes 3.26 strikes per min and is connecting on 4.97 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dominick Reyes (+145)

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