Nasrat Haqparast vs Esteban Ribovics Pick, 03/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 103 Odds

Nasrat Haqparast vs Esteban Ribovics

UFC Vegas 103

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 1, 2025

Nasrat Haqparast will battle Esteban Ribovics at UFC Vegas 103 on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The odds have Haqparast at +225 while Ribovics is coming in at -278.

Nasrat Haqparast steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-5-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Esteban "El Gringo" Ribovics comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 14-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 69". With respect to significant strikes, Nasrat Haqparast is connecting on 6.15 per min and Esteban Ribovics is connecting on 7.53 significant strikes per minute. Haqparast lands 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Ribovics lands 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Haqparast takes 5.65 significant strikes per minute while "El Gringo" takes 4.95. Haqparast also thwarts 62% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Ribovics is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown his way.

In the grappling category, Nasrat Haqparast is the lesser skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.28 times per 3 rds. Haqparast is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of the times he tries and is stopping 84% of the takedowns his opponents try. Ribovics is taking his opponents down on 66% of his takedown attempts and is defending 61% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Haqparast is the more skilled fighter by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Ribovics goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Nasrat Haqparast faced Jared Gordon and got a win for the night by way of split decision in round 3. Gordon landed 170 of 338 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Haqparast finished this fight landing 156 of 330 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Gordon landed 141 of 299, which gave him a rate of 47%. He ended up landing 125 of 275 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Haqparast landed 46% of his significant strikes by sticking 146 of 316. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 122 of 288 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Gordon and 91% of them landed by Haqparast were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Esteban Ribovics, he went up against Daniel Zellhuber and took home the win by split decision in round 3. Zellhuber connected on 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Ribovics ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ribovics ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 156 of 345. He ended up landing 103 of 276 significant strikes to the head. Zellhuber ended up connecting on 121 of 308 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 83 of 255 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Zellhuber ended up connecting on 121 of 308 while Ribovics landed 156 of 345 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Austen Lane squares up against Mario Pinto. Lane will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-5-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 245 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Pinto measures in at 6'5" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old stretches 79". In the grappling category, Austen Lane gets a takedown 2.03 times per 3 rounds while Mario Pinto scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Lane tags his opponents 2.47 strikes per min and lands 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Mario Pinto, who is landing 93% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 8.16 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when William Gomis is set to clash with Hyder Amil. Amil steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-0-0. The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The switch fighter reaches 70". Gomis stands 6'0" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 14-2-0. The 27-year-old reaches 73". Concerning grappling, Hyder Amil is able to thwart 78% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of the times he tries. Gomis is finishing his takedowns on 37% of his tries and is able to thwart 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Amil is taking 2.23 strikes per min and he is landing 6.31 strikes/min. Gomis, notwithstanding, takes 1.60 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.69 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Nasrat Haqparast (+225)

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