Muhammad Naimov vs Kaan Ofli Pick, 02/01/2025 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

Muhammad Naimov vs Kaan Ofli

UFC Saudi Arabia

ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Muhammad Naimov will face off against Kaan Ofli at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, February 1, 2025. The moneyline has Naimov at -298 while Ofli is priced at +240.

Muhammad "Hillman" Naimov steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Kaan "Genghis" Ofli measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-1. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 66". In terms of significant strikes, Muhammad Naimov is connecting on 3.18 per min and Kaan Ofli connects on 1.85 significant strikes per min. Naimov connects on 43% of the significant strikes he throws and Ofli connects on 42%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Hillman" allows 4.28 significant strikes per min and "Genghis" absorbs 4.77. Naimov also defends 42% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Ofli is able to stop 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Muhammad Naimov is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.80 times per 3 rounds. Naimov is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times he tries and defending 57% of all takedowns attempted on him. Ofli is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Naimov is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes while Ofli tries 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Muhammad Naimov faced Felipe Lima and wound up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 3. Lima ended up landing 62 of 98 total strikes attempted in that fight. Naimov ended the night having landed 55 of 120 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Lima landed 37 of 70, giving him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 37 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Naimov ended up landing 35% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 30 of 85. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 60 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Lima and 86% of them connected on by Naimov were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Kaan Ofli, he fought Mairon Santos and wound up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Santos ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Ofli ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Ofli ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 12 of 28. He connected on 10 of 22 significant strikes aimed at the head. Santos connected on 31 of 67 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 15 of 48 directed at the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Santos landed 32 of 68 while Ofli landed 19 of 35 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Shamil Gaziev fights Thomas Petersen. Gaziev comes into this fight with a record of 13-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 265 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Petersen stands 6'1" and is fighting at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the grappling category, Shamil Gaziev takes his opponents down 1.03 times per 3 rounds and Thomas Petersen scores a takedown 2.49 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Gaziev connects on 2.43 strikes per min and connects on 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Thomas Petersen, who connects on 61% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.32 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Bolaji Oki is set to go up against Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady. Al-Selwady comes into this bout holding a record of 15-4-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Oki measures 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of grappling, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady thwarts 20% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times he tries. Oki is finishing his takedowns on 75% of his attempts and is able to defend against 85% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Al-Selwady is absorbing 3.60 strikes/min and he connects on 4.14 strikes/minute. Oki, at the same time, is taking 2.58 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.63 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Muhammad Naimov (-298)

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