Montana De La Rosa vs Luana Carolina Pick, 03/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 103 Odds

Montana De La Rosa vs Luana Carolina

UFC Vegas 103

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 1, 2025

Montana De La Rosa will enter the Octagon against Luana Carolina at UFC Vegas 103 on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The odds have Rosa coming in at +120 while Carolina is coming in at -142.

Montana De La Rosa comes into this bout with a mark of 13-9-1. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Luana "Dread" Carolina measures in at 5'6" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 11-4-0. The 31-year-old stretches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Montana De La Rosa is landing 2.90 per min while Luana Carolina lands 4.81 significant strikes per minute. De La Rosa lands 37% of the significant strikes she attempts while Carolina is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, De La Rosa takes 3.39 significant strikes per min and "Dread" takes 3.54. De La Rosa also thwarts 45% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Carolina deflects 50% of the shots thrown.

Regarding wrestling, Montana De La Rosa is the more productive wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.85 times per 15 min. De La Rosa is getting her opponent to the mat on 33% of the times she tries and stopping 68% of all takedown attempts. Carolina is scoring a takedown on 37% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 74% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, De La Rosa is the more apt fighter by trying 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes while Carolina goes for 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In her last fight, Montana De La Rosa faced Andrea Lee and ended up winning this fight by split decision in round 3. Lee ended up landing 115 of 201 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Rosa ended the night having landed 88 of 206 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Lee landed 75 of 152, giving her a percentage of 49%. She ended up landing 37 of 109 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Rosa landed 38% of her significant strikes by landing 70 of 180. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 53 of 156 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes landed by Lee and 88% of them connected on by Rosa were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Luana Carolina, she fought Lucie Pudilova and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Pudilova ended up connecting on 62% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Carolina ended up landing 77% of her significant strikes at distance. Carolina landed 56% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 94 of 167. She ended up connecting on 45 of 101 significant strikes directed at the head. Pudilova ended up landing 43 of 114 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up landing 25 of 86 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Pudilova connected on 62 of 145 while Carolina connected on 114 of 199 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Manel Kape squares up against Asu Almabayev. Kape will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The southpaw fighter stretches 68". Almabayev stands 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 21-2-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 65". Concerning takedowns, Manel Kape gets his opposition to the mat 0.47 times per 15 minutes and Asu Almabayev takes his opponents down 5.08 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Kape is landing 5.05 strikes/minute and lands 56% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Asu Almabayev, who tags his opponent on 56% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.11 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Julian Marquez is set to clash with Cody Brundage. Brundage will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Marquez stands in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 9-5-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". Regarding takedowns, Cody Brundage defends against 68% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts. Marquez is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and thwarts 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Brundage is absorbing 2.63 strikes/minute while he is dealing 1.62 per min. Marquez, on the contrary, absorbs 5.06 strikes per minute and connects on 4.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Luana Carolina (-142)

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