Modestas Bukauskas vs Rafael Cerqueira Pick, 02/22/2025 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds
Modestas Bukauskas vs Rafael Cerqueira
UFC Seattle
Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle
Saturday, February 22, 2025
Modestas Bukauskas will face off against Rafael Cerqueira at UFC Seattle on Saturday, February 22, 2025. The odds have Bukauskas priced at -333 while Cerqueira is coming in at +250.
Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas will be looking to add a victory to his record of 16-6-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 78". Rafael "The Lion" Cerqueira comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-0. The 33-year-old reaches 76". Concerning significant strikes, Modestas Bukauskas is landing 3.21 per minute while Rafael Cerqueira lands 1.18 significant strikes per min. Bukauskas is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Cerqueira connects on 100%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Baltic Gladiator" takes 4.11 significant strikes per minute and "The Lion" allows 32.94. Bukauskas also defends against 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Cerqueira thwarts 22% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Seattle | Modestas Bukauskas | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -333 | +250 |
| Record | 16-6-0 | 11-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:51 | 0:51 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.21 | 1.18 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 100% |
Regarding takedowns, Modestas Bukauskas is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.38 times per 15 minutes. Bukauskas is scoring a takedown on 66% of the times he tries and stuffing 71% of all takedown tries against him. Cerqueira is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and thwarting 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Bukauskas is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Cerqueira looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rds.
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In his last fight, Modestas Bukauskas squared up with Marcin Prachnio and wound up getting the victory by an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Prachnio landed 120 of 200 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Bukauskas walked away from this fight having landed 56 of 101 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Prachnio landed 70 of 139, which gave him a rate of 50%. He finished the fight landing 19 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Bukauskas ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 38 of 76. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 28 of 64 to the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Prachnio and 76% of them connected on by Bukauskas were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Rafael Cerqueira, he faced off with Ibo Aslan and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Aslan ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Cerqueira landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Cerqueira ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 1 of 1. He ended up connecting on 0 of 0 significant strikes aimed at the head. Aslan ended up landing 28 of 36 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 26 of 33 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Aslan ended up connecting on 28 of 36 and Cerqueira ended up connecting on 1 of 1 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Henry Cejudo encounters Song Yadong. Cejudo holds a career mark of 16-4-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 64". Yadong stands 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 21-7-1 (1 NC). The 27-year-old stretches 67". Regarding grappling, Henry Cejudo takes his opponents to the mat 1.99 times per 15 minutes while Song Yadong scores a takedown 0.66 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Cejudo is connecting on 3.77 strikes per minute and is landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Song Yadong, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.49 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Anthony Hernandez is set to square up against Brendan Allen. Allen walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-6-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Hernandez stands in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 13-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old stretches 75". In the category of takedowns, Brendan Allen is preventing 58% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 39% of his tries. Hernandez is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of the attempts he tries and stops 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Allen takes 3.83 strikes per min and he connects on 3.79 strikes per min. Hernandez, in contrast, absorbs 2.88 strikes per min and connects on 4.90 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Modestas Bukauskas (-333)
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