Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett Pick, 04/12/2025 Predictions UFC 314 Odds

Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett

UFC 314

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 12, 2025

Michael Chandler will enter the Octagon with Paddy Pimblett at UFC 314 on Saturday, April 12, 2025. The opener has Chandler at +130 while Pimblett is at -148.

Michael "Iron" Chandler looks to add a win to his total of 23-9-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 22-3-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 73". In terms of significant strikes, Michael Chandler is landing 4.49 per minute while Paddy Pimblett is landing 4.94 significant strikes per min. Chandler is landing 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Pimblett lands 53%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Iron" takes 4.30 significant strikes per minute and "The Baddy" absorbs 3.75. Chandler also defends 43% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Pimblett is able to stop 40% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Michael Chandler is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.59 times per 15 minutes. Chandler is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his attempts and is defending 63% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Pimblett is scoring a takedown on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 52% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submission attempts, Chandler is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Pimblett goes for 2.1 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Michael Chandler went up against Charles Oliveira and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Oliveira ended up landing 117 of 153 total strikes attempted in that contest. Chandler walked away from this fight having landed 150 of 181 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Oliveira ended up landing 88 of 122, giving him a percentage of 72%. He ended up landing 56 of 82 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Chandler landed 74% of his significant strikes by sticking 84 of 113. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 59 of 85 to the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Oliveira and 71% of them landed by Chandler were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Paddy Pimblett, he went up against King Green and took home the victory by a triangle choke in round 1. Green ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Pimblett ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pimblett landed 61% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 8 of 13. He connected on 2 of 4 significant strikes aimed at the head. Green connected on 15 of 21 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 2 of 6 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Green ended up connecting on 15 of 21 and Pimblett ended up connecting on 10 of 16 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Bryce Mitchell meets Jean Silva. Mitchell comes into this bout with a record of 17-3-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Silva stands in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 15-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 69". In the grappling category, Bryce Mitchell is able to score a takedown 3.39 times per 3 rounds while Jean Silva gets a takedown 0.73 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Mitchell is connecting on 2.31 strikes/min and is landing 59% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Jean Silva, who lands 53% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 5.26 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Dominick Reyes is set to enter the Octagon with Nikita Krylov. Krylov steps into the Octagon with a mark of 30-9-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Reyes measures in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 14-4-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding takedowns, Nikita Krylov prevents 53% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 38% of his attempts. Reyes is taking his opponents down on 28% of the tries he takes and deflects 82% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Krylov is taking 2.47 strikes/minute while he lands 4.38 strikes per min. Reyes, on the other side, is absorbing 3.59 strikes per minute and is landing 5.64 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Paddy Pimblett (-148)

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