Merab Dvalishvili vs Umar Nurmagomedov Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds
Merab Dvalishvili vs Umar Nurmagomedov
UFC 311
Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA
Saturday, January 18, 2025
Merab Dvalishvili will battle Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The opener has Dvalishvili coming in at +260 while Nurmagomedov is at -325.
Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili steps into the cage with a record of 18-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Umar Nurmagomedov stands 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-0-0. The 29-year-old stretches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Merab Dvalishvili is landing 4.35 per minute while Umar Nurmagomedov is landing 4.46 significant strikes per min. Dvalishvili is landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Nurmagomedov connects on 63%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Machine" absorbs 2.31 significant strikes per min and Nurmagomedov takes 1.36. Dvalishvili also defends 56% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Nurmagomedov prevents 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 311 | Merab Dvalishvili | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +260 | -325 |
| Record | 18-4-0 | 18-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 16:07 | 11:56 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.35 | 4.46 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 63% |
When it comes to grappling, Merab Dvalishvili is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 6.09 times per 3 rds. Dvalishvili is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the times he tries and is defending 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nurmagomedov is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 85% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Dvalishvili is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Nurmagomedov attempts 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Merab Dvalishvili fought Sean O'Malley and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 5. O'Malley landed 49 of 91 total strikes attempted in that fight. Dvalishvili finished this fight landing 214 of 310 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, O'Malley landed 47 of 89, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He landed 22 of 48 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Dvalishvili ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by landing 82 of 164. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 55 of 130 aimed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by O'Malley and 35% of them connected on by Dvalishvili were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Umar Nurmagomedov, he fought Cory Sandhagen and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Sandhagen landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Nurmagomedov ended up connecting on 97% of his significant strikes at distance. Nurmagomedov ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 98 of 187. He ended up landing 48 of 124 significant strikes to the head. Sandhagen ended up connecting on 71 of 159 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 26 of 94 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Sandhagen ended up connecting on 80 of 172 and Nurmagomedov connected on 123 of 219 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Jiri Prochazka takes on Jamahal Hill. Prochazka walks into the cage with a mark of 30-5-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 80". Hill stands in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 12-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of takedowns, Jiri Prochazka takes his opponents to the mat 0.72 times per 3 rounds and Jamahal Hill takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Prochazka tags his opponents 5.38 strikes per min and connecting on 55% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Jamahal Hill, who is landing 54% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 7.18 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Renato Moicano is set to encounter Beneil Dariush. Dariush walks into the Octagon with a mark of 22-6-1. The 35-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Moicano measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-5-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning wrestling, Beneil Dariush stops 80% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his tries. Moicano is taking his opponents to the mat on 44% of his attempts and is able to thwart 72% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Dariush takes 2.65 strikes per min and he is connecting on 3.78 per min. Moicano, on the other side, takes 3.60 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.42 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Umar Nurmagomedov (-325)
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