Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Marvin Vettori will face off with Roman Dolidze at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The opening moneyline has Vettori coming in at -166 while Dolidze is coming in at +140.
Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori comes into this fight with a mark of 19-7-1. The 31-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Roman Dolidze stands 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 14-3-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 76". Regarding significant strikes, Marvin Vettori connects on 4.56 per minute while Roman Dolidze lands 3.16 significant strikes per min. Vettori connects on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Dolidze lands 42%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Italian Dream" takes 4.24 significant strikes per minute and Dolidze absorbs 3.38. Vettori also defends 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Dolidze defends against 50% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 104 | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -166 | +140 |
Record | 19-7-1 | 14-3-0 |
Average Fight Time | 16:55 | 11:15 |
Height | 6'0" | 6'2" |
Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
Reach | 74" | 76" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.56 | 3.16 |
Striking Accuracy | 45% | 42% |
Regarding wrestling, Marvin Vettori is the more efficient grappler as he scores a takedown 1.66 times per 3 rds. Vettori is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of the times he tries and thwarting 69% of all takedown attempts. Dolidze is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of his takedown attempts and stopping 33% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Vettori is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Dolidze looks to get 1.1 submissions per 15 min.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Marvin Vettori went up against Jared Cannonier and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Cannonier ended up landing 257 of 428 total strikes attempted in that contest. Vettori ended the night having landed 154 of 302 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Cannonier ended up landing 241 of 411, which gave him a percentage of 58%. He finished the fight landing 173 of 339 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Vettori landed 50% of his significant strikes by landing 153 of 301. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 117 of 257 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Cannonier and 96% of them connected on by Vettori were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Roman Dolidze, he battled Kevin Holland and ended up getting the victory by way of shots to the ribs in round 1. Holland connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Dolidze ended up landing 26% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dolidze ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 19 of 33. He landed 16 of 30 significant strikes directed at the head. Holland ended up connecting on 18 of 28 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 13 to the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Holland landed 36 of 46 while Dolidze connected on 57 of 101 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Chidi Njokuani squares up against Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Njokuani comes into this fight holding a mark of 24-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Zaleski dos Santos measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 25-8-1. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the grappling category, Chidi Njokuani scores a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min while Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Njokuani connects for an average of 4.59 strikes/min and connecting on 63% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, who is landing 41% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 4.33 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Kevin Vallejos is set to square up in the Octagon against SeungWoo Choi. Choi has a record of 11-7-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Vallejos stands 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-1-0. The 23-year-old has a wingspan of 68". When it comes to takedowns, SeungWoo Choi stops 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 54% of the times he tries. Vallejos is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Choi is absorbing 3.12 strikes/minute while he dishes out 3.51 strikes/min. Vallejos, on the other side, absorbs 5.81 strikes/min and lands 6.85 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Marvin Vettori (-166)
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