MarQuel Mederos vs Austin Hubbard Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/26/2025

MarQuel Mederos vs Austin Hubbard

UFC Mexico City

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, March 29, 2025

MarQuel Mederos will enter the Octagon against Austin Hubbard at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, March 29, 2025. The opening line has Mederos priced at -192 while Hubbard is at +160.

MarQuel Mederos walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Austin "Thud" Hubbard measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-8-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 71". In the category of significant strikes, MarQuel Mederos lands 4.39 per min and Austin Hubbard connects on 4.12 significant strikes per minute. Mederos is landing 45% of the significant strikes he tries while Hubbard lands 43%. Regarding defending in the cage, Mederos absorbs 3.29 significant strikes per min and "Thud" allows 3.92. Mederos also defends against 63% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Hubbard is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Austin Hubbard ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	MarQuel Mederos	Austin Hubbard
Opening Odds	-192	+160
Record	9-1-0	17-8-0
Average Fight Time	9:35	12:39
Height	5'10"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	69"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.39	4.12
Striking Accuracy	45%	43%

Regarding wrestling, MarQuel Mederos is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Mederos is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries and thwarting 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Hubbard is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 67% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, Mederos is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Hubbard goes for 0.7 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, MarQuel Mederos went up against Landon Quinones and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Quinones landed 78 of 176 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Mederos finished this fight landing 74 of 165 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Quinones ended up landing 55 of 149, which means his percentage was 36%. He ended up landing 41 of 115 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Mederos ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 60 of 146. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 28 of 103 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Quinones and 91% of them landed by Mederos were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Austin Hubbard, he fought Alexander Hernandez and wound up losing the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Hernandez landed 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Hubbard connected on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Hubbard landed 32% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 63 of 191. He ended up connecting on 32 of 142 significant strikes directed at the head. Hernandez ended up connecting on 79 of 204 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 41 of 144 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Hernandez ended up landing 91 of 217 while Hubbard ended up connecting on 65 of 193 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Loopy Godinez goes up against Julia Polastri. Godinez steps into the cage holding a record of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Polastri measures 5'2" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 13-4-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 63". When it comes to grappling, Loopy Godinez gets a takedown 2.95 times per 3 rds while Julia Polastri takes her opponents to the canvas 1.11 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Godinez connects for an average of 4.16 strikes per minute and is landing 48% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Julia Polastri, who is landing 54% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 5.57 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Steve Erceg is set to square up against Brandon Moreno. Moreno steps into the Octagon with a record of 22-8-2. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Erceg comes in at 5'8" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". Concerning grappling, Brandon Moreno curbs 64% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 46% of his attempts. Erceg is taking his opponents to the mat on 26% of the attempts he tries and prevents 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Moreno is absorbing 3.53 strikes/minute and he dishes out 3.99 strikes per min. Erceg, moreover, is taking 4.22 strikes/minute and deals 4.37 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Austin Hubbard (+160)

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MarQuel Mederos vs Austin Hubbard Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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