Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/26/2025

Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober

UFC Mexico City

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, March 29, 2025

Manuel Torres will enter the Octagon with Drew Dober at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, March 29, 2025. The opening moneyline has Torres priced at -118 while Dober is coming in at -102.

Manuel "El Loco" Torres steps into the Octagon holding a record of 15-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The switch fighter reaches 73". Drew Dober measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 27-14-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Manuel Torres is connecting on 7.17 per minute and Drew Dober lands 4.39 significant strikes per min. Torres lands 55% of the significant strikes he tries and Dober is landing 40%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "El Loco" allows 4.53 significant strikes per min while Dober takes 4.25. Torres also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Dober thwarts 51% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Manuel Torres ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	Manuel Torres	Drew Dober
Opening Odds	-118	-102
Record	15-3-0	27-14-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	2:39	8:05
Height	5'10"	5'8"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	73"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	7.17	4.39
Striking Accuracy	55%	40%

When it comes to wrestling, Manuel Torres is the more efficient grappler as he scores a takedown 2.26 times per 15 minutes. Torres is scoring a takedown on 66% of his tries and is stopping 88% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Dober is scoring a takedown on 17% of his takedown attempts and is defending 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Torres is the more capable fighter by attempting 1.1 subs per 3 rds while Dober goes for 0.1 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Manuel Torres fought Ignacio Bahamondes and took a loss on the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Bahamondes ended up landing 36 of 63 total strikes attempted in that fight. Torres walked away from this fight having landed 20 of 43 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Bahamondes landed 31 of 58, which gave him a percentage of 53%. He finished the fight landing 25 of 46 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Torres landed 46% of his significant strikes by landing 20 of 43. Out of those significant strikes, he was 9 of 30 aimed at the head. 35% of the significant strikes landed by Bahamondes and 60% of them connected on by Torres were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Drew Dober, he battled Jean Silva and ended up losing the fight by way of TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 3. Silva ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Dober landed 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dober ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 59 of 147. He ended up connecting on 29 of 109 significant strikes aimed at the head. Silva ended up landing 53 of 109 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 37 of 89 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Silva landed 53 of 109 while Dober ended up connecting on 59 of 148 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Kelvin Gastelum enters the Octagon with Joe Pyfer. Gastelum looks to add a win to his career record of 20-9-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Pyfer measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 13-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding grappling, Kelvin Gastelum takes his opponents to the canvas 1.10 times per 3 rounds while Joe Pyfer takes his opponents to the canvas 1.45 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Gastelum connects on 3.74 strikes/minute and connects on 42% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Joe Pyfer, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 3.72 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Vince Morales is set to encounter Raul Rosas Jr.. Rosas Jr. will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-1-0. The 20-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 67". Morales comes in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 16-9-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding takedowns, Raul Rosas Jr. is able to deflect 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of the times he tries. Morales is taking his opponents down on 35% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Rosas Jr. is absorbing 1.43 strikes per min while he is landing 1.55 strikes per min. Morales, in contrast, is taking 4.29 strikes per min and deals 3.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Drew Dober (-102)

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Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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