Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev Pick, 03/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 103 Odds
Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev
UFC Vegas 103
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 1, 2025
Manel Kape will face off with Asu Almabayev at UFC Vegas 103 on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The moneyline has Kape priced at -205 while Almabayev is coming in at +170.
Manel "StarBoy" Kape will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The southpaw fighter stretches 68". Asu "Zulfikar" Almabayev stands 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 21-2-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 65". Regarding significant strikes, Manel Kape is connecting on 5.05 per minute while Asu Almabayev connects on 2.11 significant strikes per minute. Kape is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he tries and Almabayev lands 56%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "StarBoy" allows 4.15 significant strikes per min and "Zulfikar" takes 1.02. Kape also prevents 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Almabayev is able to thwart 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 103 | Manel Kape | Asu Almabayev |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -205 | +170 |
| Record | 20-7-0 | 21-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:58 | 13:18 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'4" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 65" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.05 | 2.11 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 56% |
Regarding wrestling, Manel Kape is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.47 times per 15 minutes. Kape is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the times he tries and thwarting 77% of the attempts against him. Almabayev is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Kape is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Almabayev goes for 1.7 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous fight, Manel Kape fought Bruno Silva and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 3. Silva landed 60 of 115 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Kape finished this fight landing 111 of 168 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Silva landed 57 of 112, which means his percentage was 50%. He ended up landing 27 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Kape landed 66% of his significant strikes by landing 111 of 168. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 71 of 127 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Silva and 98% of them landed by Kape were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Asu Almabayev, he went up against Matheus Nicolau and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Nicolau landed 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Almabayev connected on 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Almabayev ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 22 of 54. He landed 7 of 36 significant strikes to the head. Nicolau connected on 16 of 42 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 8 of 26 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Nicolau ended up landing 38 of 68 while Almabayev ended up landing 55 of 112 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Cody Brundage faces off against Julian Marquez. Brundage will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Marquez stands in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 9-5-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". Regarding grappling, Cody Brundage is able to score a takedown 2.31 times per 15 minutes while Julian Marquez takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Brundage is landing 1.62 strikes/minute and connects on 54% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Julian Marquez, who lands 45% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.85 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Esteban Ribovics is set to enter the Octagon against Nasrat Haqparast. Haqparast steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-5-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Ribovics comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 14-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 69". Concerning wrestling, Nasrat Haqparast is able to thwart 84% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of the times he tries. Ribovics is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his tries and thwarts 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Haqparast is taking 5.65 strikes per minute and he dishes out 6.15 strikes/min. Ribovics, in contrast, is absorbing 4.95 strikes/min and is landing 7.53 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Manel Kape (-205)
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