Mairon Santos vs Francis Marshall Pick, 03/08/2025 Predictions UFC 313 Odds

Mairon Santos vs Francis Marshall

UFC 313

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 8, 2025

Mairon Santos will face off with Francis Marshall at UFC 313 on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The line has Santos priced at -340 while Marshall is priced at +270.

Mairon "The Legend" Santos walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-1-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Francis "Fire" Marshall measures in at 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 8-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Mairon Santos lands 4.77 per min and Francis Marshall lands 3.69 significant strikes per minute. Santos is landing 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Marshall is landing 34%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Legend" absorbs 1.85 significant strikes per min and "Fire" takes 4.16. Santos also stops 57% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Marshall is able to curb 53% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Mairon Santos is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Santos is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and stuffing 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Marshall is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Santos is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Marshall goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Mairon Santos squared up with Kaan Ofli and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 2. Ofli landed 19 of 35 total strikes attempted in that fight. Santos ended the night having landed 32 of 68 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Ofli ended up landing 12 of 28, which means his percentage was 42%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 22 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Santos landed 46% of his significant strikes by landing 31 of 67. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 48 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Ofli and 87% of them landed by Santos were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Francis Marshall, he faced off with Dennis Buzukja and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Buzukja ended up landing 98% of his significant strikes at distance while Marshall ended up connecting on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Marshall connected on 38% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 57 of 150. He ended up landing 53 of 144 significant strikes directed at the head. Buzukja ended up connecting on 66 of 145 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 46 of 110 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Buzukja ended up connecting on 76 of 156 while Marshall ended up connecting on 82 of 175 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Chris Gutierrez squares up against John Castaneda. Gutierrez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-6-2. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Castaneda stands 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 21-7-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In the grappling category, Chris Gutierrez gets a takedown 0.26 times per 15 minutes while John Castaneda takes his opponents to the canvas 1.79 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Gutierrez is landing 4.72 strikes per min and connects on 59% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have John Castaneda, who connects on 50% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 4.67 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ozzy Diaz is set to enter the Octagon against Djorden Santos. Santos steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Diaz measures 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-3-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 79". Regarding takedowns, Djorden Santos deflects 86% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his attempts. Diaz is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries and thwarts 15% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Santos takes 2.73 strikes/minute while he deals 5.67 strikes per minute. Diaz, in contrast, is absorbing 4.74 strikes/minute and connects on 2.21 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mairon Santos (-340)

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