Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Ribas Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Ribas
UFC Vegas 101
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Mackenzie Dern will enter the Octagon against Amanda Ribas at UFC Vegas 101 on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The opening line has Dern priced at +170 while Ribas is coming in at -205.
Mackenzie Dern has a career mark of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Amanda Ribas measures 5'3" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 13-5-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding significant strikes, Mackenzie Dern lands 3.43 per minute while Amanda Ribas is connecting on 4.63 significant strikes per minute. Dern connects on 39% of the significant strikes she attempts and Ribas lands 40%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Dern absorbs 4.12 significant strikes per minute while Ribas takes 3.40. Dern also stops 51% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Ribas is able to deflect 61% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 101 | Mackenzie Dern | Amanda Ribas |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +170 | -205 |
| Record | 14-5-0 | 13-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:21 | 12:33 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'3" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 63" | 66" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.43 | 4.63 |
| Striking Accuracy | 39% | 40% |
Concerning grappling, Mackenzie Dern is the lesser skilled grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.88 times per 3 rounds. Dern is scoring a takedown on 16% of her tries and thwarting 30% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Ribas is scoring a takedown on 51% of the takedowns she tries and is defending 85% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of going for the submission, Dern is the more skilled fighter by going for 1.2 finishes per 15 min while Ribas goes for 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Mackenzie Dern faced Loopy Godinez and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Godinez ended up landing 72 of 152 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Dern finished this fight landing 103 of 235 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Godinez landed 67 of 146, which gave her a percentage of 45%. She ended up landing 45 of 116 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dern ended up landing 35% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 72 of 203. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 61 of 188 to the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Godinez and 91% of them connected on by Dern were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Amanda Ribas, she faced off with Rose Namajunas and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Namajunas connected on 87% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Ribas ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Ribas ended up landing 30% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 83 of 270. She connected on 39 of 195 significant strikes directed at the head. Namajunas connected on 93 of 188 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 45 of 124 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Namajunas ended up connecting on 169 of 281 while Ribas ended up landing 137 of 342 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ernesta Kareckaite faces off against Nicolle Caliari. Kareckaite steps into the Octagon holding a record of 5-1-1. The 26-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Caliari stands in at 5'3" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 28-year-old stretches 62". In terms of takedowns, Ernesta Kareckaite takes her opponents to the mat 1.00 times per 3 rounds and Nicolle Caliari takes her opponents to the canvas 6.32 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Kareckaite lands an average of 7.90 strikes/minute and is connecting on 42% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Nicolle Caliari, who is landing 52% of the strikes she has attempted and is landing 1.89 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Viktoriia Dudakova is set to square up in the Octagon with Fatima Kline. Kline walks into the Octagon with a record of 6-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Dudakova measures 5'5" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding takedowns, Fatima Kline is able to stop 33% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 85% of her tries. Dudakova is finishing her takedown tries on 36% of her tries and is able to curb 50% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Kline is absorbing 2.67 strikes per min and she lands 2.60 strikes/minute. Dudakova, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.77 strikes per min and is landing 3.45 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mackenzie Dern (+170)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Ribas Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Fatima Kline vs Viktoriia Dudakova Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Christian Rodriguez vs Austin Bashi Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Marco Tulio vs Ihor Potieria Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs Bruno Lopes Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Carlston Harris Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Punahele Soriano vs Uros Medic Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
- Jose Johnson vs Felipe Bunes Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds