Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/26/2025

Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri

UFC Mexico City

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, March 29, 2025

Loopy Godinez will face off with Julia Polastri at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, March 29, 2025. The opening moneyline has Godinez at -238 while Polastri is priced at +195.

Loopy Godinez steps into the cage holding a record of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Julia "Psycho" Polastri measures 5'2" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 13-4-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 63". Regarding significant strikes, Loopy Godinez is landing 4.16 per minute and Julia Polastri is connecting on 5.57 significant strikes per min. Godinez is landing 48% of the significant strikes she tries while Polastri connects on 54%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Godinez absorbs 3.69 significant strikes per minute while "Psycho" absorbs 5.31. Godinez also prevents 63% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Polastri is able to deflect 58% of the shots thrown in her direction.

ufc picks Loopy Godinez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	Loopy Godinez	Julia Polastri
Opening Odds	-238	+195
Record	12-5-0	13-4-0
Average Fight Time	13:34	13:31
Height	5'2"	5'2"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	61"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.16	5.57
Striking Accuracy	48%	54%

Regarding grappling, Loopy Godinez is the more productive wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.95 times per 15 min. Godinez is scoring a takedown on 47% of the times she tries and stuffing 81% of the takedowns her opponents try. Polastri is taking her opponents to the canvas on 80% of her takedown tries and is stopping 61% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Godinez is the more apt fighter by going for 1.0 sub per 3 rds while Polastri attempts 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time she fought, Loopy Godinez fought Mackenzie Dern and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Dern ended up landing 103 of 235 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Godinez finished this fight landing 72 of 152 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Dern landed 72 of 203, which gave her a percentage of 35%. She ended up landing 61 of 188 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Godinez ended up landing 45% of her significant strikes by sticking 67 of 146. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 45 of 116 to the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Dern and 86% of them connected on by Godinez were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Julia Polastri, she squared up with Cory McKenna and ended up getting the victory in the fight by split decision in round 3. McKenna ended up connecting on 87% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Polastri connected on 61% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Polastri landed 60% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 88 of 145. She ended up connecting on 40 of 92 significant strikes directed at the head. McKenna connected on 40 of 124 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 30 of 112 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, McKenna ended up connecting on 98 of 198 while Polastri ended up landing 142 of 203 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Brandon Moreno squares up in the Octagon against Steve Erceg. Moreno steps into the Octagon with a record of 22-8-2. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Erceg comes in at 5'8" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". When it comes to wrestling, Brandon Moreno gets his opposition to the mat 1.59 times per 3 rds while Steve Erceg takes his opponents to the mat 1.16 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Moreno lands 3.99 strikes/minute and connecting on 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Steve Erceg, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.37 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Drew Dober is set to square up in the Octagon against Manuel Torres. Torres steps into the Octagon holding a record of 15-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The switch fighter reaches 73". Dober measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 27-14-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old reaches 70". Regarding wrestling, Manuel Torres is able to deflect 88% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 66% of his attempts. Dober is finishing his takedown tries on 17% of the tries he takes and stops 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Torres absorbs 4.53 strikes per min and he connects on 7.17 per min. Dober, at the same time, is taking 4.25 strikes/minute and dishes out 4.39 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Loopy Godinez (-238)

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Loopy Godinez vs Julia Polastri Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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