Karol Rosa vs Ailin Perez Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/15/2025

Karol Rosa vs Ailin Perez

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Karol Rosa will take on Ailin Perez at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The odds have Rosa at -265 while Perez is priced at +215.

Karol Rosa walks into the cage holding a record of 18-6-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Ailin "Fiona" Perez measures 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career mark of 11-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 66". When talking about significant strikes, Karol Rosa is landing 6.49 per min while Ailin Perez is connecting on 2.84 significant strikes per minute. Rosa is landing 56% of the significant strikes she tries while Perez is connecting on 58%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Rosa allows 4.91 significant strikes per min and "Fiona" takes 1.34. Rosa also deflects 49% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Perez deflects 57% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Karol Rosa ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Karol Rosa	Ailin Perez
Opening Odds	-265	+215
Record	18-6-0	11-2-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	11:45
Height	5'5"	5'5"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.49	2.84
Striking Accuracy	56%	58%

Concerning takedowns, Karol Rosa is the lesser skilled grappler as she is able to score a takedown 1.20 times per 3 rounds. Rosa is scoring a takedown on 46% of the times she tries and stopping 68% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Perez is taking her opponents to the canvas on 51% of her takedown tries and is defending 66% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Rosa is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Perez goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Karol Rosa went up against Pannie Kianzad and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Kianzad landed 138 of 229 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Rosa ended the night having landed 140 of 223 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kianzad ended up landing 92 of 182, which gave her a rate of 50%. She ended up landing 56 of 138 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rosa ended up landing 60% of her significant strikes by sticking 117 of 194. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 70 of 132 to the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Kianzad and 85% of them connected on by Rosa were done at distance.

In the last bout for Ailin Perez, she squared up with Daria Zhelezniakova and wound up getting the victory by an arm triangle from half guard in round 1. Zhelezniakova connected on 80% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Perez connected on 42% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Perez ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 7 of 12. She ended up landing 5 of 7 significant strikes aimed at the head. Zhelezniakova landed 5 of 12 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 4 of 10 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Zhelezniakova landed 12 of 21 while Perez landed 22 of 27 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Islam Makhachev enters the Octagon against Arman Tsarukyan. Makhachev will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-1-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Tsarukyan stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 22-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". In terms of takedowns, Islam Makhachev takes his opponents to the canvas 3.19 times per 3 rounds while Arman Tsarukyan gets a takedown 3.25 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Makhachev is landing 2.65 strikes/min and landing 59% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Arman Tsarukyan, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.79 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Umar Nurmagomedov is set to face off with Merab Dvalishvili. Dvalishvili steps into the cage with a record of 18-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Nurmagomedov stands 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-0-0. The 29-year-old stretches 69". Regarding wrestling, Merab Dvalishvili is able to curb 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of his attempts. Nurmagomedov is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Dvalishvili takes 2.31 strikes/min and he is connecting on 4.35 strikes/minute. Nurmagomedov, at the same time, is absorbing 1.36 strikes per minute and deals 4.46 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Karol Rosa (-265)

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Karol Rosa vs Ailin Perez Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

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