Justin Tafa vs Tallison Teixeira Pick, 02/08/2025 Predictions UFC 312 Odds

Justin Tafa vs Tallison Teixeira

UFC 312

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 8, 2025

Justin Tafa will face off against Tallison Teixeira at UFC 312 on Saturday, February 8, 2025. The moneyline has Tafa coming in at +114 while Teixeira is coming in at -135.

Justin "Bad Man" Tafa looks to add a victory to his career total of 7-4-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old tips the scales at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Tallison "Xicao" Teixeira measures 6'7" and is fighting at 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 7-0-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 83". Concerning significant strikes, Justin Tafa connects on 4.09 per min and Tallison Teixeira connects on 14.87 significant strikes per min. Tafa is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he attempts and Teixeira is connecting on 54%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Bad Man" takes 5.02 significant strikes per min while "Xicao" takes 9.74. Tafa also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Teixeira stops 58% of them.

Regarding wrestling, Justin Tafa is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.90 times per 3 rds. Tafa is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries and stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Teixeira is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 15% of the tries against him. In terms of submission attempts, Tafa is the more able fighter by going for 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Teixeira looks to get 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Justin Tafa faced Karl Williams and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Williams ended up landing 123 of 176 total strikes attempted in that contest. Tafa walked away from this fight having landed 27 of 50 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Williams ended up landing 40 of 61, which means his percentage was 65%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 47 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Tafa landed 48% of his significant strikes by connecting on 21 of 43. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 15 of 36 aimed at the head. 47% of the significant strikes connected on by Williams and 85% of them connected on by Tafa were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Tallison Teixeira, he faced off with Arthur Lopes and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Lopes landed 89% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Teixeira ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Teixeira connected on 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 29 of 53. He connected on 20 of 42 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lopes ended up connecting on 19 of 46 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 43 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Lopes landed 19 of 47 and Teixeira ended up connecting on 29 of 53 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jimmy Crute squares up in the Octagon against Rodolfo Bellato. Crute has a record of 12-4-1. The 28-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Bellato comes in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 77". In terms of takedowns, Jimmy Crute takes his opponents to the canvas 4.84 times per 3 rds and Rodolfo Bellato takes his opponents to the mat 1.09 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Crute lands an average of 3.68 strikes/min and is connecting on 54% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Rodolfo Bellato, who is connecting on 61% of the strikes he attempts and lands 6.47 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Francisco Prado is set to face off with Jake Matthews. Matthews steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Prado comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 12-2-0. The 22-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of wrestling, Jake Matthews defends against 64% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 41% of the times he tries. Prado is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts and prevents 25% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Matthews is absorbing 2.54 strikes per min while he lands 3.38 strikes/min. Prado, moreover, is taking 5.66 strikes per min and dishes out 4.58 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tallison Teixeira (-135)

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