Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy

UFC Vegas 105

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Josh Emmett will take on Lerone Murphy at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The opening moneyline has Emmett at +270 while Murphy is at -340.

Josh "CC0" Emmett holds a career record of 19-4-0. The 40-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Lerone "The Miracle" Murphy stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 15-0-1. The 33-year-old has a reach of 73". In the category of significant strikes, Josh Emmett connects on 4.04 per min and Lerone Murphy connects on 4.80 significant strikes per minute. Emmett is landing 36% of the significant strikes he throws and Murphy connects on 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "CC0" absorbs 4.61 significant strikes per min and "The Miracle" allows 2.67. Emmett also thwarts 61% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Murphy is able to deflect 60% of the shots thrown.

Regarding takedowns, Josh Emmett is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.91 times per 15 minutes. Emmett is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of the times he tries and thwarting 46% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Murphy is taking his opponents to the mat on 54% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 48% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submissions, Emmett is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.1 submissions per 15 min while Murphy attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Josh Emmett faced Bryce Mitchell and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Mitchell landed 0 of 3 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Emmett walked away from this fight having landed 2 of 10 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Mitchell landed 0 of 3, which means his percentage was 0%. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Emmett landed 20% of his significant strikes by connecting on 2 of 10. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 1 of 4 aimed at the head. 0% of the significant strikes connected on by Mitchell and 100% of them landed by Emmett were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Lerone Murphy, he went up against Dan Ige and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ige ended up connecting on 69% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Murphy connected on 71% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Murphy connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 52 of 100. He ended up connecting on 36 of 77 significant strikes to the head. Ige ended up landing 46 of 106 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 35 of 92 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Ige ended up landing 52 of 116 while Murphy was 78 of 133 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Pat Sabatini meets Joanderson Brito. Sabatini holds a career record of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Brito measures 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-4-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". In the grappling category, Pat Sabatini scores a takedown 3.97 times per 15 minutes while Joanderson Brito gets a takedown 3.08 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Sabatini connects on 1.94 strikes/minute and landing 59% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Joanderson Brito, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 3.02 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when ChangHo Lee is set to fight Cortavious Romious. Romious will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Lee stands in at 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of wrestling, Cortavious Romious is able to thwart 70% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his tries. Lee is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his tries and is able to stop 38% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Romious takes 3.02 strikes per minute while he is landing 2.10 strikes per min. Lee, on the other hand, takes 2.65 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.90 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Josh Emmett (+270)

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