Jiri Prochazka vs Jamahal Hill Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/15/2025

Jiri Prochazka vs Jamahal Hill

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Jiri Prochazka will battle Jamahal Hill at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The opening odds have Prochazka priced at -105 while Hill is coming in at -115.

Jiri Prochazka walks into the cage with a mark of 30-5-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 80". Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill stands in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 12-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 79". When talking about significant strikes, Jiri Prochazka is landing 5.38 per min while Jamahal Hill is connecting on 7.18 significant strikes per minute. Prochazka is connecting on 55% of the significant strikes he tries and Hill lands 54%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Prochazka allows 5.59 significant strikes per min and "Sweet Dreams" absorbs 3.51. Prochazka also curbs 39% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Hill thwarts 46% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Jiri Prochazka ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Jiri Prochazka	Jamahal Hill
Opening Odds	-105	-115
Record	30-5-1	12-2-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	10:25	8:38
Height	6'3"	6'4"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	80"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.38	7.18
Striking Accuracy	55%	54%

In the category of takedowns, Jiri Prochazka is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.72 times per 15 min. Prochazka is getting his opponent to the mat on 60% of his attempts and stopping 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Hill is taking his opponents down on 15% of his takedown tries and thwarting 73% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Prochazka is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Hill tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Jiri Prochazka squared up with Alex Pereira and walked away in defeat via a kick to the head in round 2. Pereira landed 49 of 61 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Prochazka ended the night having landed 7 of 25 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Pereira ended up landing 38 of 50, which gave him a rate of 76%. He ended up landing 21 of 32 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Prochazka ended up landing 28% of his significant strikes by sticking 7 of 25. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 4 of 20 pointed at the head. 55% of the significant strikes connected on by Pereira and 85% of them connected on by Prochazka were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Jamahal Hill, he fought Alex Pereira and ended up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Pereira ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes at distance and Hill landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Hill ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 12 of 22. He ended up connecting on 1 of 7 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pereira connected on 24 of 30 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 12 of 15 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Pereira was 24 of 30 and Hill was 12 of 22 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Beneil Dariush goes up against Renato Moicano. Dariush walks into the Octagon with a mark of 22-6-1. The 35-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Moicano measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-5-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding grappling, Beneil Dariush takes his opponents to the mat 1.90 times per 15 minutes while Renato Moicano is averaging a takedown 1.87 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Dariush connects for an average of 3.78 strikes per minute and is connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Renato Moicano, who connects on 49% of his attempted strikes and connects on 4.42 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Reinier de Ridder is set to encounter Kevin Holland. Holland walks into the Octagon holding a record of 26-12-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 81". de Ridder stands in at 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-2-0. The 34-year-old reaches 78". Concerning grappling, Kevin Holland curbs 54% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of his attempts. de Ridder is finishing his takedowns on 38% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 85% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Holland is absorbing 3.21 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 4.24 per minute. de Ridder, at the same time, absorbs 2.56 strikes/min and lands 3.24 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Jiri Prochazka (-105)

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Jiri Prochazka vs Jamahal Hill Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

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