Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds

Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones

UFC Des Moines

Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Saturday, May 3, 2025

Jeremy Stephens will face off with Mason Jones at UFC Des Moines on Saturday, May 3, 2025. The opening line has Stephens priced at +425 while Jones is priced at -575.

Jeremy "Lil' Heathen" Stephens will be looking to add a win to his record of 28-19-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Mason "The Dragon" Jones measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 74". Concerning significant strikes, Jeremy Stephens is landing 3.17 per minute and Mason Jones connects on 5.61 significant strikes per minute. Stephens lands 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Jones lands 44%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Lil' Heathen" absorbs 3.05 significant strikes per min while "The Dragon" allows 4.94. Stephens also deflects 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Jones thwarts 46% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

When it comes to wrestling, Jeremy Stephens is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.16 times per 15 min. Stephens is taking his opponents to the canvas on 38% of his attempts and stuffing 65% of all takedown tries against him. Jones is taking his opponents to the mat on 45% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 80% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Stephens is the more skilled technician by going for 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Jones tries 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Jeremy Stephens fought Mateusz Gamrot and ended up walking away in defeat by a kimura from side control in round 1. Gamrot ended up landing 5 of 9 total strikes that he let go. Stephens ended the night having landed 3 of 4 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Gamrot ended up landing 1 of 3, giving him a percentage of 33%. He landed 0 of 2 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Stephens landed 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 1 of 2. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 1 of 2 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Gamrot and 100% of them connected on by Stephens were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Mason Jones, he fought Ludovit Klein and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Klein connected on 62% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Jones landed 48% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Jones connected on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 43 of 105. He connected on 16 of 70 significant strikes aimed at the head. Klein ended up connecting on 50 of 87 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 37 of 68 aimed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Klein ended up landing 70 of 112 and Jones landed 78 of 141 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ryan Loder fights Azamat Bekoev. Loder comes into this bout with a mark of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 76". Bekoev stands in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 19-3-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Ryan Loder takes his opponents down 2.20 times per 15 minutes while Azamat Bekoev is able to score a takedown 4.89 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Loder lands 6.16 strikes/min and lands 80% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Azamat Bekoev, who tags his opponent on 80% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 6.85 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Quang Le is set to fight Gaston Bolanos. Bolanos looks to add a win to his career record of 8-4-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Le measures in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding takedowns, Gaston Bolanos is able to defend against 42% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of the times he tries. Le is finishing his takedown tries on 23% of his attempts and prevents 85% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Bolanos absorbs 2.57 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.74 strikes/min. Le, in contrast, is taking 5.52 strikes/min and dishes out 3.02 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mason Jones (-575)

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