Jan Blachowicz vs Carlos Ulberg Pick, 03/22/2025 Predictions UFC London Odds

Jan Blachowicz vs Carlos Ulberg

UFC London

O2 Arena in London

Saturday, March 22, 2025

Jan Blachowicz will battle Carlos Ulberg at UFC London on Saturday, March 22, 2025. The opening odds have Blachowicz priced at +225 while Ulberg is at -278.

Jan Blachowicz walks into the Octagon with a record of 29-10-1. The 42-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Carlos "Black Jag" Ulberg comes in at 6'4" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-1-0. The 34-year-old stretches 77". Regarding significant strikes, Jan Blachowicz lands 3.41 per min and Carlos Ulberg is connecting on 7.20 significant strikes per minute. Blachowicz is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ulberg is landing 56%. Regarding defense, Blachowicz absorbs 2.91 significant strikes per min while "Black Jag" takes 4.27. Blachowicz also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Ulberg is able to defend against 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the wrestling category, Jan Blachowicz is the more skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.09 times per 3 rounds. Blachowicz is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his tries and thwarting 68% of all takedowns attempted on him. Ulberg is taking his opponents to the canvas on 75% of his takedown tries and stuffing 83% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Blachowicz is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Ulberg attempts 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Jan Blachowicz faced Alex Pereira and wound up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Pereira ended up landing 112 of 138 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Blachowicz walked away from this fight having landed 82 of 117 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Pereira landed 70 of 92, which gave him a percentage of 76%. He ended up landing 26 of 46 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Blachowicz landed 64% of his significant strikes by landing 52 of 81. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 41 of 66 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Pereira and 78% of them connected on by Blachowicz were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Carlos Ulberg, he fought Volkan Oezdemir and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Oezdemir connected on 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Ulberg connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Ulberg ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 98 of 204. He landed 81 of 182 significant strikes directed at the head. Oezdemir landed 96 of 183 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 131 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Oezdemir ended up connecting on 96 of 183 while Ulberg landed 98 of 204 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Gunnar Nelson opposes Kevin Holland. Nelson looks to add a victory to his career total of 19-5-1. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Holland measures in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-13-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 81". When it comes to grappling, Gunnar Nelson scores a takedown 1.90 times per 15 minutes while Kevin Holland is averaging a takedown 0.82 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Nelson is connecting on 1.84 strikes per min and connects on 61% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Kevin Holland, who is connecting on 49% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.22 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Chris Duncan is set to square up in the Octagon with Jordan Vucenic. Vucenic walks into the Octagon with a mark of 13-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Duncan comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-2-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding takedowns, Jordan Vucenic prevents 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries. Duncan is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of his attempts and is able to thwart 33% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Vucenic absorbs 2.00 strikes/min while he lands 2.27 strikes/min. Duncan, on the contrary, absorbs 4.00 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.70 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Carlos Ulberg (-278)

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