Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado Pick, 02/08/2025 Predictions UFC 312 Odds
Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado
UFC 312
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, February 8, 2025
Jake Matthews will enter the Octagon against Francisco Prado at UFC 312 on Saturday, February 8, 2025. The opening line has Matthews at -218 while Prado is at +180.
Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Francisco Prado comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 12-2-0. The 22-year-old has a wingspan of 69". With respect to significant strikes, Jake Matthews is landing 3.38 per min while Francisco Prado is landing 4.58 significant strikes per minute. Matthews is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he tries while Prado connects on 41%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Celtic Kid" absorbs 2.54 significant strikes per minute and Prado absorbs 5.66. Matthews also stops 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Prado deflects 52% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 312 | Jake Matthews | Francisco Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -218 | +180 |
| Record | 20-7-0 | 12-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:34 | 11:22 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.38 | 4.58 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 41% |
Concerning takedowns, Jake Matthews is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.56 times per 3 rds. Matthews is scoring a takedown on 41% of the times he tries and is defending 64% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Prado is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 25% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Matthews is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Prado attempts 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Jake Matthews faced Phil Rowe and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Rowe landed 40 of 111 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Matthews walked away from this fight having landed 89 of 188 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Rowe ended up landing 34 of 104, which means his percentage was 32%. He landed 27 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Matthews ended up landing 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 66 of 164. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 36 of 125 to the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Rowe and 90% of them connected on by Matthews were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Francisco Prado, he battled Daniel Zellhuber and walked away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Zellhuber ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Prado ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Prado ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 90 of 246. He connected on 30 of 155 significant strikes to the head. Zellhuber ended up connecting on 120 of 272 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 87 of 228 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Zellhuber was 120 of 272 while Prado ended up connecting on 91 of 249 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jack Jenkins takes on Gabriel Santos. Jenkins has a record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The switch fighter extends his reach 68". Santos comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old stretches 70". In the grappling category, Jack Jenkins gets his opposition to the mat 2.12 times per 3 rds while Gabriel Santos takes his opponents down 3.44 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Jenkins is connecting on 4.83 strikes/minute and lands 60% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Gabriel Santos, who is connecting on 59% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.69 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Viacheslav Borshchev is set to square up in the Octagon against Tom Nolan. Nolan will be looking to add a victory to his total of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Borshchev stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-4-1. The 33-year-old stretches 69". When it comes to takedowns, Tom Nolan is thwarting 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries. Borshchev is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and thwarts 35% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Nolan is taking 5.17 strikes/min while he connects on 6.68 strikes/minute. Borshchev, in contrast, is absorbing 4.80 strikes/minute and dishes out 5.40 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Francisco Prado (+180)
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