Jai Herbert vs Chris Padilla Pick, 03/22/2025 Predictions UFC London Odds

Jai Herbert vs Chris Padilla

UFC London

O2 Arena in London

Saturday, March 22, 2025

Jai Herbert will battle Chris Padilla at UFC London on Saturday, March 22, 2025. The line has Herbert coming in at -125 while Padilla is priced at +105.

Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-5-1. The 36-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Chris "Taco" Padilla stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-6-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 74". When talking about significant strikes, Jai Herbert is landing 3.16 per minute and Chris Padilla lands 5.80 significant strikes per minute. Herbert is landing 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Padilla is landing 61%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Black Country Banger" allows 3.37 significant strikes per min and "Taco" absorbs 4.93. Herbert also defends 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Padilla is able to thwart 46% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning takedowns, Jai Herbert is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. Herbert is taking his opponents to the canvas on 23% of his attempts and stuffing 59% of all takedown tries against him. Padilla is taking his opponents down on 75% of his takedown tries and stopping 15% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Herbert is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Padilla tries 1.1 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Jai Herbert squared up with Rolando Bedoya and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Bedoya ended up landing 71 of 206 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Herbert ended the night having landed 89 of 185 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Bedoya ended up landing 67 of 199, which gave him a rate of 33%. He landed 29 of 134 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Herbert landed 46% of his significant strikes by sticking 82 of 178. Out of those significant strikes, he was 47 of 132 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Bedoya and 96% of them landed by Herbert were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Chris Padilla, he went up against Rongzhu and ended up getting the victory by way of an eye injury to Rongzhu in round 2. Rongzhu connected on 87% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Padilla landed 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Padilla ended up landing 64% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 68 of 105. He connected on 36 of 51 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rongzhu landed 49 of 88 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 26 of 61 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Rongzhu landed 49 of 88 while Padilla was 73 of 110 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Lone'er Kavanagh squares up against Felipe dos Santos. Kavanagh looks to add a victory to his total of 8-0-0. The 25-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". dos Santos measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-2-0 (1 NC). The 24-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of takedowns, Lone'er Kavanagh scores a takedown 0.90 times per 15 min while Felipe dos Santos is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Kavanagh is connecting on 3.62 strikes per min and is landing 43% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Felipe dos Santos, who lands 37% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 3.87 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Mick Parkin is set to go up against Marcin Tybura. Tybura steps into the Octagon with a record of 26-9-0. The 39-year-old will fight at 249 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Parkin measures in at 6'4" and records a weight of 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 10-0-0. The 29-year-old stretches 79". When it comes to takedowns, Marcin Tybura is preventing 77% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries. Parkin is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the attempts he tries and deflects 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Tybura is taking 3.26 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.57 strikes per min. Parkin, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.15 strikes/minute and is landing 4.91 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chris Padilla (+105)

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