Jack Jenkins vs Gabriel Santos Pick, 02/08/2025 Predictions UFC 312 Odds

Jack Jenkins vs Gabriel Santos

UFC 312

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 8, 2025

Jack Jenkins will take on Gabriel Santos at UFC 312 on Saturday, February 8, 2025. The opener has Jenkins coming in at +190 while Santos is priced at -230.

Jack "Phar" Jenkins has a record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The switch fighter extends his reach 68". Gabriel "Mosquitinho" Santos comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old stretches 70". In the category of significant strikes, Jack Jenkins is connecting on 4.83 per min and Gabriel Santos lands 4.69 significant strikes per minute. Jenkins lands 60% of the significant strikes he throws while Santos is landing 59%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Phar" absorbs 2.92 significant strikes per minute and "Mosquitinho" takes 4.77. Jenkins also stops 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Santos defends against 47% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to wrestling, Jack Jenkins is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 2.12 times per 15 min. Jenkins is taking his opponents to the canvas on 69% of his tries and stuffing 76% of all takedown tries against him. Santos is scoring a takedown on 52% of the takedowns he tries and defending 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submission attempts, Jenkins is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Santos looks to get 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jack Jenkins faced Herbert Burns and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Burns ended up landing 45 of 101 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Jenkins finished this fight landing 98 of 152 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Burns ended up landing 24 of 79, which means his percentage was 30%. He landed 11 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Jenkins landed 57% of his significant strikes by sticking 73 of 126. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 44 of 95 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Burns and 80% of them landed by Jenkins were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Gabriel Santos, he fought Yizha and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Yizha landed 97% of his significant strikes at distance while Santos connected on 69% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Santos connected on 67% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 76 of 112. He ended up connecting on 45 of 79 significant strikes aimed at the head. Yizha ended up landing 41 of 92 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 26 of 71 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Yizha connected on 96 of 160 and Santos landed 110 of 150 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Tom Nolan battles Viacheslav Borshchev. Nolan will be looking to add a victory to his total of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Borshchev stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-4-1. The 33-year-old stretches 69". In the grappling category, Tom Nolan gets his opposition to the mat 0.30 times per 3 rds and Viacheslav Borshchev is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Nolan tags his opponents 6.68 strikes per min and connects on 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Viacheslav Borshchev, who is landing 53% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 5.40 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Kody Steele is set to square up against Rong Zhu. Zhu steps into the cage with a mark of 25-6-0. The 24-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Steele comes in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 7-0-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In the category of takedowns, Rong Zhu is stopping 85% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 62% of his tries. Steele is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Zhu absorbs 5.80 strikes per min while he is dealing 5.45 strikes/minute. Steele, on the contrary, absorbs 5.27 strikes per min and dishes out 5.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jack Jenkins (+190)

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