Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/15/2025

Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Islam Makhachev will take on Arman Tsarukyan at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The opening moneyline has Makhachev at -395 while Tsarukyan is at +310.

Islam Makhachev will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-1-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Arman "Ahalkalakets" Tsarukyan stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 22-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Islam Makhachev lands 2.65 per minute while Arman Tsarukyan is landing 3.79 significant strikes per minute. Makhachev connects on 59% of the significant strikes he attempts and Tsarukyan connects on 48%. When it comes to defending themselves, Makhachev takes 1.54 significant strikes per min while "Ahalkalakets" absorbs 1.84. Makhachev also stops 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Tsarukyan deflects 53% of them.

ufc picks Islam Makhachev ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Islam Makhachev	Arman Tsarukyan
Opening Odds	-395	+310
Record	26-1-0	22-3-0
Average Fight Time	10:34	12:36
Height	5'10"	5'7"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	70"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.65	3.79
Striking Accuracy	59%	48%

In the grappling category, Islam Makhachev is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.19 times per 15 minutes. Makhachev is finishing his takedown attempts on 53% of his attempts and stuffing 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Tsarukyan is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of his takedown tries and thwarting 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Makhachev is the more skilled technician by attempting 1.1 finishes per 3 rds while Tsarukyan tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Islam Makhachev faced Dustin Poirier and wound up getting the victory by d'arce choke in round 5. Poirier ended up landing 104 of 218 total strikes that he let go. Makhachev finished this fight landing 147 of 222 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Poirier landed 74 of 183, which gave him a percentage of 40%. He finished the fight landing 53 of 159 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Makhachev ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by sticking 88 of 156. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 81 of 148 aimed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes landed by Poirier and 80% of them connected on by Makhachev were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Arman Tsarukyan, he squared up with Charles Oliveira and ended up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Oliveira landed 36% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Tsarukyan ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes at distance. Tsarukyan ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 49 of 83. He landed 37 of 69 significant strikes to the head. Oliveira landed 19 of 37 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 11 of 22 directed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Oliveira ended up connecting on 33 of 53 and Tsarukyan ended up landing 75 of 117 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Merab Dvalishvili enters the Octagon with Umar Nurmagomedov. Dvalishvili steps into the cage with a record of 18-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Nurmagomedov stands 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-0-0. The 29-year-old stretches 69". In terms of takedowns, Merab Dvalishvili scores a takedown 6.09 times per 3 rds and Umar Nurmagomedov is able to score a takedown 3.98 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Dvalishvili connects on 4.35 strikes per minute and is landing 42% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Umar Nurmagomedov, who connects on 63% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.46 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Jamahal Hill is set to enter the Octagon with Jiri Prochazka. Prochazka walks into the cage with a mark of 30-5-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 80". Hill stands in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 12-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of wrestling, Jiri Prochazka is stopping 68% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of his attempts. Hill is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the tries he takes and curbs 73% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Prochazka is absorbing 5.59 strikes per minute while he is landing 5.38 strikes per min. Hill, in contrast, is absorbing 3.51 strikes per min and is landing 7.18 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Islam Makhachev (-395)

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Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

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