Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates Pick, 04/26/2025 Predictions UFC Kansas City Odds
Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates
UFC Kansas City
T-Mobile Center in Kansas City
Saturday, April 26, 2025
Ian Machado Garry will face off against Carlos Prates at UFC Kansas City on Saturday, April 26, 2025. The odds have Garry coming in at -130 while Prates is coming in at +110.
Ian "The Future" Machado Garry comes into this fight with a record of 15-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Carlos "The Nightmare" Prates measures in at 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 21-6-0. The 31-year-old reaches 78". When talking about significant strikes, Ian Machado Garry connects on 4.72 per minute and Carlos Prates is landing 4.39 significant strikes per minute. Machado Garry connects on 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Prates connects on 57%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Future" allows 2.82 significant strikes per min while "The Nightmare" absorbs 4.60. Machado Garry also defends against 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Prates is able to curb 48% of them.
| UFC Kansas City | Ian Machado Garry | Carlos Prates |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -130 | +110 |
| Record | 15-1-0 | 21-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:35 | 6:47 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.72 | 4.39 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 57% |
When it comes to grappling, Ian Machado Garry is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.74 times per 15 min. Machado Garry is taking his opponents to the canvas on 54% of the times he tries and is stopping 73% of the takedowns his opponents try. Prates is finishing his takedowns on 85% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 91% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Machado Garry is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Prates goes for 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Ian Machado Garry went up against Shavkat Rakhmonov and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 5. Rakhmonov landed 65 of 102 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Garry ended the night having landed 102 of 157 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rakhmonov ended up landing 37 of 67, which gave him a rate of 55%. He finished the fight landing 29 of 55 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Garry landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 42 of 84. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 11 of 40 to the head. 64% of the significant strikes landed by Rakhmonov and 83% of them connected on by Garry were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Carlos Prates, he squared up with Neil Magny and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 1. Magny ended up connecting on 90% of his significant strikes at distance while Prates ended up landing 83% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Prates ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 12 of 21. He ended up landing 9 of 17 significant strikes to the head. Magny connected on 10 of 20 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 7 of 17 directed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Magny ended up connecting on 23 of 33 while Prates ended up connecting on 13 of 22 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Anthony Smith squares up in the Octagon against Zhang Mingyang. Smith looks to add a win to his record of 38-21-0. The 36-year-old weighs 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Mingyang measures 6'2" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 18-6-0. The 26-year-old stretches 75". In the grappling category, Anthony Smith gets a takedown 0.44 times per 15 minutes while Zhang Mingyang takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Smith is landing 3.20 strikes/min and is connecting on 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Zhang Mingyang, who lands 55% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 8.57 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when David Onama is set to battle Giga Chikadze. Chikadze looks to add a victory to his record of 15-4-0. The 36-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Onama stands 5'11" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 74". Regarding wrestling, Giga Chikadze is able to deflect 70% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 33% of his attempts. Onama is taking his opponents down on 20% of the tries he takes and thwarts 52% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Chikadze takes 3.50 strikes per minute while he dishes out 3.92 per minute. Onama, at the same time, is taking 5.07 strikes per min and is landing 5.60 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ian Machado Garry (-130)
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