Gunnar Nelson vs Kevin Holland Pick, 03/22/2025 Predictions UFC London Odds

Gunnar Nelson vs Kevin Holland

UFC London

O2 Arena in London

Saturday, March 22, 2025

Gunnar Nelson will battle Kevin Holland at UFC London on Saturday, March 22, 2025. The opening line has Nelson coming in at -125 while Holland is coming in at +105.

Gunnar "Gunni" Nelson looks to add a victory to his career total of 19-5-1. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland measures in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-13-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 81". With respect to significant strikes, Gunnar Nelson is landing 1.84 per min and Kevin Holland is landing 4.22 significant strikes per min. Nelson lands 61% of the significant strikes he tries and Holland lands 49%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Gunni" takes 3.00 significant strikes per minute while "Trailblazer" absorbs 3.22. Nelson also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Holland is able to thwart 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the grappling category, Gunnar Nelson is the more productive grappler as he scores a takedown 1.90 times per 15 minutes. Nelson is scoring a takedown on 59% of the times he tries and is stopping 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Holland is scoring a takedown on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 53% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submissions, Nelson is the more capable fighter by attempting 1.0 finish per 3 rounds while Holland attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Gunnar Nelson faced Bryan Barberena and got a win for the night via an armbar from the mount position in round 1. Barberena ended up landing 18 of 23 total strikes attempted in that contest. Nelson finished this fight landing 20 of 21 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Barberena landed 7 of 12, which gave him a rate of 58%. He ended up landing 3 of 7 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Nelson ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 10 of 11. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 8 of 9 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Barberena and 10% of them connected on by Nelson were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Kevin Holland, he faced off with Reinier de Ridder and ended up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Ridder ended up landing 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Holland landed 9% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Holland landed 84% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 11 of 13. He landed 10 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Ridder ended up connecting on 12 of 21 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 11 of 20 to the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Ridder ended up landing 26 of 35 and Holland was 27 of 32 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jordan Vucenic squares up in the Octagon against Chris Duncan. Vucenic walks into the Octagon with a mark of 13-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Duncan comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-2-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 71". When it comes to grappling, Jordan Vucenic takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 minutes while Chris Duncan gets a takedown 3.53 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Vucenic lands an average of 2.27 strikes/minute and connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Chris Duncan, who is connecting on 46% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 4.70 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Morgan Charriere is set to face off with Nathaniel Wood. Wood holds a mark of 20-6-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Charriere measures in at 5'8" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 20-10-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 69". In the category of takedowns, Nathaniel Wood is preventing 72% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 48% of the times he tries. Charriere is finishing his takedown tries on 57% of his tries and thwarts 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Wood absorbs 4.00 strikes/minute while he lands 5.75 strikes/minute. Charriere, on the contrary, is taking 3.74 strikes per min and dishes out 3.87 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Gunnar Nelson (-125)

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