Gabriel Bonfim vs Khaos Williams Pick, 02/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 102 Odds

Gabriel Bonfim vs Khaos Williams

UFC Vegas 102

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 15, 2025

Gabriel Bonfim will enter the Octagon against Khaos Williams at UFC Vegas 102 on Saturday, February 15, 2025. The moneyline has Bonfim coming in at -230 while Williams is at +190.

Gabriel "Marretinha" Bonfim looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Khaos "The OxFighter" Williams measures 6'0" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 15-3-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 77". Regarding significant strikes, Gabriel Bonfim lands 5.78 per min while Khaos Williams is landing 5.81 significant strikes per min. Bonfim lands 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Williams is landing 39%. Regarding defense, "Marretinha" absorbs 4.38 significant strikes per minute and "The OxFighter" absorbs 5.42. Bonfim also defends against 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Williams is able to deflect 42% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Gabriel Bonfim is the more productive wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.92 times per 15 minutes. Bonfim is taking his opponents to the canvas on 75% of his tries and is defending 73% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Williams is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Bonfim is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.9 submissions per 3 rds while Williams goes for 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Gabriel Bonfim squared up with Ange Loosa and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Loosa ended up landing 60 of 166 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Bonfim ended the night having landed 106 of 232 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Loosa landed 52 of 153 , which gave him a rate of 33%. He landed 37 of 125 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Bonfim landed 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 101 of 225 . Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 64 of 182 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Loosa and 84% of them landed by Bonfim were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Khaos Williams, he faced off with Carlston Harris and ended up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Harris ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Williams ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Williams landed 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 12 of 20 . He ended up landing 5 of 9 significant strikes to the head. Harris landed 14 of 30 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 10 of 25 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Harris connected on 14 of 30 and Williams connected on 12 of 20 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Vince Morales opposes Elijah Smith. Morales steps into the cage with a mark of 16-8-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Smith comes in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-1-0. The 22-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding grappling, Vince Morales gets his opposition to the mat 0.36 times per 15 minutes while Elijah Smith gets a takedown 5.00 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Morales is landing 3.98 strikes per min and lands 36% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Elijah Smith, who lands 41% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 5.00 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Don'Tale Mayes is set to square up in the Octagon with Valter Walker. Walker looks to add a win to his total of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Mayes measures in at 6'6" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 11-7-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 81". In terms of wrestling, Valter Walker prevents 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 75% of the times he tries. Mayes is taking his opponents down on 38% of the tries he takes and curbs 58% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Walker is absorbing 3.16 strikes/min and he is dealing 1.86 strikes/minute. Mayes, moreover, absorbs 3.79 strikes/min and is dealing 3.51 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Khaos Williams (+190)

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