Fares Ziam vs Mike Davis Pick, 02/01/2025 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

Fares Ziam vs Mike Davis

UFC Saudi Arabia

ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Fares Ziam will face off with Mike Davis at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, February 1, 2025. The opening moneyline has Ziam priced at +120 while Davis is coming in at -142.

Fares "Smile Killer" Ziam looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-4-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Mike "Beast Boy" Davis measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Fares Ziam lands 2.92 per min and Mike Davis is connecting on 5.35 significant strikes per minute. Ziam lands 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Davis connects on 52%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Smile Killer" allows 1.66 significant strikes per min while "Beast Boy" allows 5.76. Ziam also stops 66% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Davis deflects 55% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to grappling, Fares Ziam is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.28 times per 3 rds. Ziam is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his attempts and is stuffing 67% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Davis is taking his opponents to the mat on 53% of his takedown tries and is defending 64% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Ziam is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Davis tries 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Fares Ziam fought Matt Frevola and wound up taking home the win by way of a knee to the head in round 3. Frevola ended up landing 25 of 72 total strikes that he let go. Ziam walked away from this fight having landed 69 of 107 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Frevola landed 16 of 59, which means his percentage was 27%. He finished the fight landing 7 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Ziam ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 58 of 94. Of those significant strikes, he landed 44 of 77 aimed at the head. 56% of the significant strikes landed by Frevola and 77% of them landed by Ziam were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mike Davis, he fought Natan Levy and wound up getting the win by an arm triangle in round 2. Levy ended up connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Davis ended up connecting on 33% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Davis ended up connecting on 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 3 of 7. He connected on 3 of 6 significant strikes to the head. Levy ended up connecting on 8 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 3 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Levy was 18 of 20 and Davis landed 10 of 15 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Bogdan Grad squares up in the Octagon against Lucas Alexander. Grad holds a mark of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Alexander measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". When it comes to grappling, Bogdan Grad is able to score a takedown 2.75 times per 15 min while Lucas Alexander is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Grad lands an average of 6.35 strikes/minute and is landing 47% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Lucas Alexander, who tags his opponent on 55% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 5.23 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Jamal Pogues is set to square up in the Octagon with Hamdy Abdelwahab. Abdelwahab will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 5-0-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Pogues measures 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 77". In terms of grappling, Hamdy Abdelwahab is stopping 15% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 75% of his tries. Pogues is taking his opponents down on 48% of the tries he takes and curbs 77% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Abdelwahab is absorbing 3.13 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.87 strikes/minute. Pogues, on the other hand, absorbs 4.17 strikes/min and deals 3.36 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fares Ziam (+120)

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