Evan Elder vs MarQuel Mederos Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Evan Elder vs MarQuel Mederos
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Evan Elder will battle MarQuel Mederos at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The line has Elder at -155 while Mederos is priced at +130.
Evan "The Phenom" Elder walks into the cage holding a record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". MarQuel Mederos stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Concerning significant strikes, Evan Elder connects on 5.02 per min while MarQuel Mederos connects on 4.39 significant strikes per min. Elder is landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempts and Mederos is connecting on 45%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Phenom" absorbs 4.79 significant strikes per min while Mederos absorbs 3.29. Elder also thwarts 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Mederos is able to stop 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 104 | Evan Elder | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -155 | +130 |
| Record | 9-2-0 | 9-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:51 | 9:35 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.02 | 4.39 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 45% |
In terms of grappling, Evan Elder is the more apt grappler as he gets a takedown 0.63 times per 15 minutes. Elder is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of his tries and stopping 33% of the takedowns his opponents try. Mederos is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and stopping 90% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Elder is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Mederos looks to get 0.8 submissions per 15 min.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Evan Elder squared up with Darrius Flowers and took home the win via an arm triangle in round 2. Flowers landed 26 of 65 total strikes attempted in that fight. Elder finished this fight landing 61 of 104 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Flowers ended up landing 24 of 60, giving him a percentage of 40%. He finished the fight landing 12 of 37 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Elder landed 52% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 45 of 86. Of all the significant strikes, he was 17 of 51 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Flowers and 64% of them landed by Elder were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for MarQuel Mederos, he squared up with Landon Quinones and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Quinones connected on 98% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Mederos ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Mederos connected on 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 60 of 146. He ended up landing 28 of 103 significant strikes aimed at the head. Quinones landed 55 of 149 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 41 of 115 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Quinones ended up landing 78 of 176 and Mederos ended up connecting on 74 of 165 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Stephanie Luciano meets Sam Hughes. Luciano steps into the cage with a record of 6-1-1. The 25-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Hughes measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 64". In the grappling category, Stephanie Luciano is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds while Sam Hughes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.85 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Luciano is connecting on 5.30 strikes per min and landing 48% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Sam Hughes, who is landing 46% of the strikes she attempts and is landing 4.33 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Priscila Cachoeira is set to clash with Josiane Nunes. Nunes steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'2". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Cachoeira comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 12-6-0. The 36-year-old stretches 65". Concerning grappling, Josiane Nunes is able to curb 58% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 15% of her tries. Cachoeira is finishing her takedown tries on 33% of the attempts she tries and deflects 65% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Nunes takes 5.44 strikes per minute while she is dealing 5.41 strikes/min. Cachoeira, on the other side, takes 7.03 strikes/min and deals 3.76 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Evan Elder (-155)
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