Evan Elder vs Gauge Young Pick, 04/26/2025 Predictions UFC Kansas City Odds

Evan Elder vs Gauge Young

UFC Kansas City

T-Mobile Center in Kansas City

Saturday, April 26, 2025

Evan Elder will battle Gauge Young at UFC Kansas City on Saturday, April 26, 2025. The odds have Elder coming in at -205 while Young is at +170.

Evan "The Phenom" Elder steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Gauge "Gee Money" Young stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 9-2-0. The 24-year-old has an arm span of 70". Concerning significant strikes, Evan Elder is connecting on 5.02 per min while Gauge Young is landing 4.27 significant strikes per minute. Elder is landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Young is connecting on 56%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Phenom" allows 4.79 significant strikes per minute while "Gee Money" allows 5.40. Elder also stops 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Young is able to defend against 44% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the grappling category, Evan Elder is the more capable wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.63 times per 3 rds. Elder is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of his tries and thwarting 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Young is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown tries and thwarting 59% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Elder is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Young tries 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Evan Elder faced Darrius Flowers and took home the win by way of an arm triangle in round 2. Flowers ended up landing 26 of 65 total strikes attempted in that fight. Elder ended the night having landed 61 of 104 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Flowers ended up landing 24 of 60, giving him a percentage of 40%. He finished the fight landing 12 of 37 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Elder landed 52% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 45 of 86. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 17 of 51 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Flowers and 64% of them landed by Elder were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Gauge Young, he squared up with Quillan Salkilld and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Salkilld connected on 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Young connected on 89% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Young ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 64 of 113. He connected on 39 of 76 significant strikes aimed at the head. Salkilld ended up landing 81 of 146 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 37 of 88 aimed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Salkilld connected on 100 of 171 and Young ended up connecting on 66 of 117 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Chris Gutierrez meets John Castaneda. Gutierrez holds a career mark of 21-6-2. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Castaneda stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 21-7-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of takedowns, Chris Gutierrez is averaging a takedown 0.26 times per 3 rds while John Castaneda gets a takedown 1.79 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Gutierrez is landing 4.72 strikes per minute and is connecting on 59% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is John Castaneda, who tags the opposition on 50% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 4.67 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Alateng Heili is set to square up in the Octagon with Da'Mon Blackshear. Blackshear holds a mark of 16-7-1. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter stretches 72". Heili stands in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 17-9-2. The 33-year-old stretches 66". When it comes to takedowns, Da'Mon Blackshear is able to thwart 70% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 36% of his attempts. Heili is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his attempts and deflects 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Blackshear is absorbing 4.17 strikes/minute and he connects on 3.93 strikes per min. Heili, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.67 strikes per min and lands 2.64 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Gauge Young (+170)

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