Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari
UFC Vegas 101
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Ernesta Kareckaite will face off with Nicolle Caliari at UFC Vegas 101 on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The line has Kareckaite priced at -298 while Caliari is priced at +240.
Ernesta "Heavy-Handed" Kareckaite steps into the Octagon holding a record of 5-1-1. The 26-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Nicolle Caliari stands in at 5'3" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 28-year-old stretches 62". In terms of significant strikes, Ernesta Kareckaite is connecting on 7.90 per min and Nicolle Caliari connects on 1.89 significant strikes per minute. Kareckaite is landing 42% of the significant strikes she attempts and Caliari lands 52%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Heavy-Handed" allows 6.90 significant strikes per minute while Caliari absorbs 3.16. Kareckaite also thwarts 43% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Caliari prevents 31% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 101 | Ernesta Kareckaite | Nicolle Caliari |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -298 | +240 |
| Record | 5-1-1 | 8-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 4:45 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'3" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 62" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.90 | 1.89 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 52% |
Regarding grappling, Ernesta Kareckaite is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.00 times per 15 min. Kareckaite is scoring a takedown on 66% of her tries and thwarting 86% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Caliari is getting her opponent to the mat on 66% of the takedowns she attempts and stopping 15% of the attempts against her. When it comes to going for the submission, Kareckaite is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Caliari looks to get 6.3 submissions per 3 rounds.
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The last time she fought, Ernesta Kareckaite went up against Dione Barbosa and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Barbosa landed 87 of 124 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Kareckaite ended the night having landed 100 of 220 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Barbosa ended up landing 39 of 71, giving her a percentage of 54%. She finished the fight landing 21 of 49 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Kareckaite landed 33% of her significant strikes by connecting on 53 of 156. Of those significant strikes, she landed 39 of 127 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Barbosa and 83% of them connected on by Kareckaite were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Nicolle Caliari, she went up against Corinne Laframboise and ended up getting the win by an armbar on the ground in round 1. Laframboise landed 26% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Caliari connected on 66% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Caliari connected on 52% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 9 of 17. She connected on 6 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Laframboise ended up landing 15 of 22 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up connecting on 15 of 22 directed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Laframboise ended up landing 25 of 32 and Caliari ended up connecting on 11 of 20 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Fatima Kline goes up against Viktoriia Dudakova. Kline walks into the Octagon with a record of 6-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Dudakova measures 5'5" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding grappling, Fatima Kline takes her opponents to the mat 1.00 times per 15 min while Viktoriia Dudakova is able to score a takedown 2.63 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Kline connects on 2.60 strikes per minute and connecting on 48% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Viktoriia Dudakova, who is landing 48% of the strikes she has thrown and lands 3.45 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Carlston Harris is set to face off against Santiago Ponzinibbio. Ponzinibbio steps into the cage with a mark of 30-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Harris stands 6'0" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-6-0. The 37-year-old stretches 76". Concerning wrestling, Santiago Ponzinibbio is thwarting 66% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 32% of his attempts. Harris is finishing his takedowns on 29% of his attempts and curbs 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Ponzinibbio absorbs 4.55 strikes/minute and he dishes out 4.74 strikes per min. Harris, on the other side, is absorbing 2.66 strikes per minute and deals 3.18 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nicolle Caliari (+240)
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