Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

Edgar Chairez vs CJ Vergara

UFC Mexico City

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, March 29, 2025

Edgar Chairez will enter the Octagon with CJ Vergara at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, March 29, 2025. The line has Chairez coming in at -270 while Vergara is coming in at +220.

Edgar "Puro Chicali" Chairez holds a career record of 11-6-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". CJ Vergara comes in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-6-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 68". In terms of significant strikes, Edgar Chairez lands 3.45 per min and CJ Vergara is connecting on 5.10 significant strikes per min. Chairez connects on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Vergara lands 56%. Regarding defense, "Puro Chicali" takes 5.21 significant strikes per min and Vergara takes 4.74. Chairez also defends 42% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Vergara is able to thwart 53% of the shots thrown.

In terms of grappling, Edgar Chairez is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Chairez is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and is defending 33% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Vergara is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown tries and stuffing 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Chairez is the more skilled technician by attempting 1.5 finishes per 15 min while Vergara looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Edgar Chairez fought Joshua Van and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Van ended up landing 183 of 276 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Chairez ended the night having landed 87 of 197 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Van landed 118 of 200, which gave him a percentage of 59%. He ended up landing 79 of 155 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Chairez landed 41% of his significant strikes by landing 79 of 189. Of all the significant strikes, he was 46 of 145 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Van and 97% of them connected on by Chairez were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for CJ Vergara, he went up against Ramazan Temirov and wound up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the body in round 1. Temirov connected on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Vergara ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Vergara landed 25% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 4 of 16. He landed 1 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. Temirov landed 23 of 55 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 18 of 46 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Temirov landed 23 of 55 and Vergara connected on 4 of 16 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jose Daniel Medina squares up against Ateba Gautier. Daniel Medina walks into the cage holding a record of 11-4-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Gautier stands 6'4" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 6-1-0. The 22-year-old stretches 81". When it comes to grappling, Jose Daniel Medina scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds and Ateba Gautier is averaging a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Daniel Medina tags his opponents 1.87 strikes/min and is connecting on 33% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Ateba Gautier, who connects on 71% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.33 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Melquizael Costa is set to clash with Christian Rodriguez. Rodriguez comes into this fight holding a mark of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Costa stands 5'10" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 22-7-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of grappling, Christian Rodriguez is able to curb 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 53% of the times he tries. Costa is taking his opponents down on 33% of his tries and is able to thwart 50% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Rodriguez is taking 2.41 strikes/min and he lands 3.54 strikes per min. Costa, in contrast, is taking 2.22 strikes per min and lands 3.70 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Edgar Chairez (-270)

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