Douglas Silva de Andrade vs John Castaneda Pick, 03/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 103 Odds
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs John Castaneda
UFC Vegas 103
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 1, 2025
Douglas Silva de Andrade will face off with John Castaneda at UFC Vegas 103 on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The opening odds have Andrade coming in at +235 while Castaneda is priced at -290.
Douglas "D Silva" Silva de Andrade will be looking to add a victory to his total of 29-6-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". John "Sexi Mexi" Castaneda comes in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 21-7-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Douglas Silva de Andrade lands 3.54 per minute and John Castaneda lands 4.67 significant strikes per minute. Silva de Andrade lands 38% of the significant strikes he attempts and Castaneda lands 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "D Silva" allows 3.93 significant strikes per min while "Sexi Mexi" allows 5.22. Silva de Andrade also deflects 57% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Castaneda is able to defend against 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 103 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | John Castaneda |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +235 | -290 |
| Record | 29-6-0 (1 NC) | 21-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:31 | 12:36 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.54 | 4.67 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 50% |
In terms of grappling, Douglas Silva de Andrade is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.55 times per 15 minutes. Silva de Andrade is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of his attempts and is stopping 72% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Castaneda is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 71% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Silva de Andrade is the more skilled technician by going for 0.2 subs per 15 minutes while Castaneda looks to get 0.1 subs per 15 min.
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In his last bout, Douglas Silva de Andrade faced Miles Johns and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Johns landed 52 of 98 total strikes attempted in that contest. Andrade walked away from this fight having landed 36 of 119 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Johns ended up landing 50 of 96, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He landed 37 of 82 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Andrade landed 30% of his significant strikes by connecting on 36 of 119. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 80 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Johns and 100% of them connected on by Andrade were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for John Castaneda, he squared up with Daniel Marcos and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Marcos ended up connecting on 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Castaneda connected on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Castaneda landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 60 of 123. He ended up connecting on 26 of 75 significant strikes aimed at the head. Marcos ended up landing 98 of 171 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 71 of 131 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Marcos ended up connecting on 101 of 177 while Castaneda connected on 68 of 134 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Danny Silva enters the Octagon with Lucas Almeida. Silva walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures 5'11". The switch fighter stretches 70". Almeida measures 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 15-3-0. The 34-year-old reaches 71". In terms of takedowns, Danny Silva is able to score a takedown 3.00 times per 15 min and Lucas Almeida takes his opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Silva is connecting on 8.30 strikes per min and is connecting on 58% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Lucas Almeida, who tags his opponent on 43% of his attempted strikes and connects on 4.94 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ramazan Temirov is set to face off with Charles Johnson. Johnson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-6-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures 5'9". The switch fighter reaches 70". Temirov stands in at 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-3-0. The 28-year-old stretches 63". Concerning grappling, Charles Johnson is stopping 67% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 23% of his tries. Temirov is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and deflects 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Johnson takes 3.62 strikes/minute and he is dealing 4.77 per min. Temirov, at the same time, is absorbing 1.41 strikes/minute and lands 8.12 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take John Castaneda (-290)
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