Djorden Santos vs Ozzy Diaz Pick, 03/08/2025 Predictions UFC 313 Odds

Djorden Santos vs Ozzy Diaz

UFC 313

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 8, 2025

Djorden Santos will battle Ozzy Diaz at UFC 313 on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The line has Santos priced at -198 while Diaz is priced at +164.

Djorden "Shakur" Santos steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Ozzy Diaz measures 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-3-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 79". Concerning significant strikes, Djorden Santos connects on 5.67 per min while Ozzy Diaz is connecting on 2.21 significant strikes per min. Santos connects on 55% of the significant strikes he attempts and Diaz connects on 43%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Shakur" allows 2.73 significant strikes per minute while Diaz allows 4.74. Santos also deflects 52% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Diaz curbs 46% of them.

When it comes to grappling, Djorden Santos is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.00 times per 3 rds. Santos is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and is defending 86% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Diaz is taking his opponents down on 15% of his takedown tries and thwarting 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the submission, Santos is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Diaz tries 0.7 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Djorden Santos went up against Will Currie and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Currie landed 81 of 137 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Santos walked away from this fight having landed 116 of 186 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Currie landed 41 of 86, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He ended up landing 13 of 52 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Santos landed 55% of his significant strikes by sticking 85 of 152. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 69 of 135 aimed at the head. 63% of the significant strikes landed by Currie and 89% of them connected on by Santos were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Ozzy Diaz, he went up against Zhang Mingyang and walked away in defeat by an elbow to the head in round 1. Mingyang connected on 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Diaz ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Diaz landed 75% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 9 of 12. He ended up connecting on 4 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Mingyang connected on 17 of 34 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 9 of 24 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Mingyang ended up connecting on 19 of 38 while Diaz ended up connecting on 9 of 12 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Amanda Lemos faces off against Iasmin Lucindo. Lemos has a career mark of 14-4-1. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Lucindo stands 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 17-5-0. The 23-year-old stretches 66". In the grappling category, Amanda Lemos takes her opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 3 rounds and Iasmin Lucindo takes her opponents to the canvas 2.40 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Lemos lands an average of 3.16 strikes/minute and is landing 54% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Iasmin Lucindo, who is landing 45% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 3.52 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Magomed Ankalaev is set to enter the Octagon with Alex Pereira. Pereira looks to add a victory to his career total of 12-2-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Ankalaev stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 20-1-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old extends his reach 75". In terms of wrestling, Alex Pereira curbs 70% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his tries. Ankalaev is finishing his takedowns on 31% of his tries and is able to stop 86% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Pereira is taking 3.44 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 5.46 strikes/min. Ankalaev, notwithstanding, takes 2.37 strikes/minute and connects on 3.64 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Djorden Santos (-198)

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