Diana Belbita vs Dione Barbosa Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

Diana Belbita vs Dione Barbosa

UFC Vegas 105

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Diana Belbita will enter the Octagon with Dione Barbosa at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The opening moneyline has Belbita coming in at +500 while Barbosa is priced at -700.

Diana "The Warrior Princess" Belbita looks to add a win to her career total of 15-9-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Dione "The Witch" Barbosa stands in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". Concerning significant strikes, Diana Belbita is landing 6.54 per min while Dione Barbosa is landing 1.85 significant strikes per min. Belbita is landing 42% of the significant strikes she attempts and Barbosa connects on 48%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Warrior Princess" absorbs 6.55 significant strikes per min while "The Witch" allows 2.49. Belbita also defends against 51% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Barbosa prevents 66% of the strikes thrown her way.

Concerning grappling, Diana Belbita is not as efficient of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.91 times per 3 rounds. Belbita is scoring a takedown on 62% of the times she tries and stuffing 65% of the takedowns her opponents try. Barbosa is scoring a takedown on 28% of her takedown tries and stopping 42% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Belbita is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Barbosa tries 2.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In her previous bout, Diana Belbita went up against Molly McCann and walked away in defeat by way of an armbar from the mount position in round 1. McCann ended up landing 43 of 92 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Belbita walked away from this fight having landed 29 of 77 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, McCann ended up landing 42 of 91, giving her a percentage of 46%. She ended up landing 27 of 71 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Belbita ended up landing 37% of her significant strikes by landing 29 of 77. Of those significant strikes, she landed 9 of 46 aimed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by McCann and 82% of them landed by Belbita were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Dione Barbosa, she battled Miranda Maverick and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Maverick ended up connecting on 76% of her significant strikes at distance and Barbosa ended up connecting on 90% of her significant strikes at distance. Barbosa landed 40% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 21 of 52. She connected on 19 of 47 significant strikes aimed at the head. Maverick ended up connecting on 30 of 88 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she landed 9 of 55 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Maverick was 102 of 188 and Barbosa landed 47 of 85 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Loma Lookboonmee fights Istela Nunes. Lookboonmee looks to add a victory to her career total of 9-3-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Nunes comes in at 5'4" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 6-5-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 66". Regarding grappling, Loma Lookboonmee is able to score a takedown 1.90 times per 15 min while Istela Nunes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Lookboonmee lands an average of 4.10 strikes/minute and connecting on 57% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Istela Nunes, who lands 45% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 5.02 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Talita Alencar is set to take on Vanessa Demopoulos. Demopoulos has a record of 11-6-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 59". Alencar measures 5'1" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 5-1-1. The 34-year-old extends her reach 58". In terms of grappling, Vanessa Demopoulos is preventing 27% of her opponents takedown tries and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 11% of the times she tries. Alencar is taking her opponents down on 13% of the attempts she tries and is able to curb 50% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Demopoulos is absorbing 5.53 strikes/min and she is dealing 3.87 strikes/min. Alencar, at the same time, is taking 4.80 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.49 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Diana Belbita (+500)

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