David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/26/2025

David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira

UFC Mexico City

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, March 29, 2025

David Martinez will enter the Octagon with Saimon Oliveira at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, March 29, 2025. The opening line has Martinez priced at -360 while Oliveira is priced at +285.

David "Black Spartan" Martinez will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 66". Saimon Oliveira measures 5'4" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 72". In the category of significant strikes, David Martinez lands 5.27 per min while Saimon Oliveira is connecting on 2.82 significant strikes per minute. Martinez lands 49% of the significant strikes he tries and Oliveira is connecting on 41%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Black Spartan" allows 3.07 significant strikes per min and Oliveira takes 3.91. Martinez also thwarts 66% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Oliveira is able to curb 48% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Saimon Oliveira ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	David Martinez	Saimon Oliveira
Opening Odds	-360	+285
Record	11-1-0	18-5-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	12:26
Height	5'6"	5'4"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	66"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.27	2.82
Striking Accuracy	49%	41%

In the grappling category, David Martinez is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds. Martinez is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Oliveira is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his takedown attempts and defending 35% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Martinez is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.5 subs per 3 rounds while Oliveira goes for 1.6 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, David Martinez faced Xavier Franklin and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Franklin ended up landing 47 of 140 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Martinez walked away from this fight having landed 80 of 162 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Franklin landed 46 of 139, giving him a percentage of 33%. He landed 39 of 128 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Martinez landed 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 79 of 161. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 42 of 116 aimed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Franklin and 97% of them connected on by Martinez were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Saimon Oliveira, he went up against Daniel Marcos and walked away in defeat by way of knees to the body in round 2. Marcos landed 67% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Oliveira landed 86% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Oliveira connected on 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 23 of 70. He ended up connecting on 7 of 47 significant strikes directed at the head. Marcos ended up connecting on 53 of 78 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 31 of 52 to the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Marcos landed 59 of 84 and Oliveira connected on 25 of 73 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ronaldo Rodriguez meets Kevin Borjas. Rodriguez has a mark of 17-2-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Borjas measures 5'5" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-3-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding grappling, Ronaldo Rodriguez takes his opponents to the mat 1.13 times per 15 minutes and Kevin Borjas is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Rodriguez lands an average of 2.13 strikes/minute and connects on 44% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Kevin Borjas, who tags the opposition on 40% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 4.92 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when CJ Vergara is set to square up with Edgar Chairez. Chairez holds a career record of 11-6-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Vergara comes in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-6-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding takedowns, Edgar Chairez is able to thwart 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the times he tries. Vergara is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and deflects 60% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Chairez takes 5.21 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.45 strikes/minute. Vergara, on the contrary, takes 4.74 strikes per minute and connects on 5.10 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take David Martinez (-360)

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David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira Pick, 03/29/2025 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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