Davey Grant vs Daniel Santos Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

Davey Grant vs Daniel Santos

UFC Vegas 105

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Davey Grant will take on Daniel Santos at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The line has Grant coming in at +124 while Santos is priced at -148.

Davey "Dangerous" Grant will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-7-0. The 39-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Daniel "Willycat" Santos comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 67". With respect to significant strikes, Davey Grant is connecting on 5.25 per minute and Daniel Santos connects on 4.26 significant strikes per minute. Grant is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Santos is connecting on 37%. Regarding defense, "Dangerous" absorbs 3.89 significant strikes per minute while "Willycat" absorbs 5.12. Grant also prevents 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Santos thwarts 50% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Davey Grant is the not as competent as a wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.14 times per 15 min. Grant is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his attempts and is defending 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Santos is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 73% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Grant is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Santos tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Davey Grant faced Ramon Taveras and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Taveras landed 69 of 156 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Grant finished this fight landing 147 of 290 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Taveras landed 69 of 156, which gave him a percentage of 44%. He finished the fight landing 63 of 149 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Grant landed 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 147 of 290. Of those significant strikes, he landed 50 of 158 pointed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Taveras and 100% of them connected on by Grant were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Daniel Santos, he faced off with Johnny Munoz and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Munoz ended up landing 83% of his significant strikes at distance and Santos connected on 20% of his significant strikes at distance. Santos ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 50 of 91. He ended up landing 30 of 62 significant strikes to the head. Munoz ended up connecting on 18 of 39 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 8 of 26 directed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Munoz was 64 of 101 while Santos ended up connecting on 134 of 198 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Victor Henry enters the Octagon with Pedro Falcao. Henry steps into the cage with a mark of 24-7-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 68". Falcao stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 66". Regarding grappling, Victor Henry is averaging a takedown 0.84 times per 15 min and Pedro Falcao is averaging a takedown 2.07 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Henry is connecting on 7.66 strikes/min and is connecting on 53% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Pedro Falcao, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.90 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Daniel Frunza is set to square up in the Octagon against Rhys McKee. McKee holds a record of 13-6-1. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Frunza stands 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 73". In the category of takedowns, Rhys McKee curbs 41% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts. Frunza is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries and defends against 60% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, McKee is absorbing 7.85 strikes/minute and he is landing 4.80 strikes per min. Frunza, on the other side, takes 5.53 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.94 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Daniel Santos (-148)

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