Daniel Barez vs Andre Lima Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Daniel Barez vs Andre Lima
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Daniel Barez will take on Andre Lima at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The opener has Barez coming in at +280 while Lima is coming in at -355.
Daniel Barez will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-6-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 66". Andre "Mascote" Lima measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-0-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 67". In terms of significant strikes, Daniel Barez connects on 4.10 per minute and Andre Lima is landing 3.03 significant strikes per min. Barez is landing 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Lima lands 55%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Barez takes 5.05 significant strikes per min while "Mascote" allows 2.48. Barez also stops 57% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Lima thwarts 57% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 104 | Daniel Barez | Andre Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +280 | -355 |
| Record | 17-6-0 | 10-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:09 | 13:13 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.10 | 3.03 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 55% |
Concerning takedowns, Daniel Barez is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 2.24 times per 3 rds. Barez is getting his opponent to the mat on 31% of the times he tries and defending 92% of all takedown attempts. Lima is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his takedown tries and defending 73% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Barez is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes while Lima attempts 1.1 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his last bout, Daniel Barez fought Victor Altamirano and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Altamirano ended up landing 76 of 184 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Barez ended the night having landed 78 of 142 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Altamirano ended up landing 71 of 177, which means his percentage was 40%. He landed 28 of 105 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Barez ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 67 of 130. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 34 of 90 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Altamirano and 91% of them connected on by Barez were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Andre Lima, he faced off with Felipe dos Santos and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Santos connected on 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Lima ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lima connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 18 of 37. He ended up landing 5 of 21 significant strikes to the head. Santos landed 38 of 76 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 45 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Santos landed 69 of 122 while Lima connected on 43 of 70 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Evan Elder squares up with MarQuel Mederos. Elder walks into the cage holding a record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Mederos stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In the grappling category, Evan Elder takes his opponents down 0.63 times per 15 min while MarQuel Mederos is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Elder lands an average of 5.02 strikes per minute and is connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is MarQuel Mederos, who lands 45% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 4.39 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Sam Hughes is set to face off with Stephanie Luciano. Luciano steps into the cage with a record of 6-1-1. The 25-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Hughes measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 64". Regarding wrestling, Stephanie Luciano stops 85% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 85% of the times she tries. Hughes is taking her opponents to the mat on 30% of the tries she takes and curbs 60% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Luciano takes 2.53 strikes/min while she is landing 5.30 strikes per minute. Hughes, in contrast, takes 4.46 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.33 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Andre Lima (-355)
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