Da'Mon Blackshear vs Cody Gibson Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds

Da'Mon Blackshear vs Cody Gibson

UFC Vegas 104

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 15, 2025

Da'Mon Blackshear will enter the Octagon against Cody Gibson at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The opener has Blackshear coming in at -455 while Gibson is coming in at +350.

Da'Mon "The Monster" Blackshear has a career record of 15-7-1. The 30-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Cody "The Renegade" Gibson measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-10-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 71". With respect to significant strikes, Da'Mon Blackshear lands 4.30 per minute while Cody Gibson connects on 3.47 significant strikes per min. Blackshear connects on 47% of the significant strikes he tries and Gibson is connecting on 44%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Monster" absorbs 4.06 significant strikes per minute while "The Renegade" allows 3.36. Blackshear also stops 49% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Gibson is able to curb 57% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Da'Mon Blackshear is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.17 times per 15 minutes. Blackshear is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his tries and is stopping 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Gibson is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 68% of the attempts against him. Regarding submissions, Blackshear is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Gibson goes for 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Da'Mon Blackshear fought Cody Stamann and took home the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Stamann ended up landing 13 of 33 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Blackshear finished this fight landing 21 of 46 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Stamann landed 13 of 33, which gave him a percentage of 39%. He landed 5 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Blackshear landed 45% of his significant strikes by landing 20 of 44. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 15 of 36 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Stamann and 95% of them landed by Blackshear were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Cody Gibson, he faced off with Chad Anheliger and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Anheliger connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Gibson ended up connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Gibson connected on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 16 of 34. He connected on 15 of 28 significant strikes to the head. Anheliger connected on 11 of 19 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 8 of 16 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Anheliger was 59 of 77 and Gibson landed 59 of 93 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when SuYoung You encounters AJ Cunningham. You has a record of 14-3-0 (2 NC). The 29-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". Cunningham stands 5'10" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". Regarding grappling, SuYoung You takes his opponents to the canvas 4.67 times per 15 minutes and AJ Cunningham takes his opponents to the mat 0.56 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, You is connecting on 2.11 strikes/min and landing 42% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is AJ Cunningham, who is landing 29% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 7.66 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ryan Spann is set to square up against Waldo Cortes-Acosta. Cortes-Acosta comes into this fight with a mark of 12-1-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Spann stands 6'5" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 22-10-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 79". When it comes to takedowns, Waldo Cortes-Acosta is able to deflect 60% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 60% of his attempts. Spann is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 50% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Cortes-Acosta is absorbing 3.60 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 5.64 strikes per min. Spann, on the other side, is taking 3.90 strikes per min and deals 3.30 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Da'Mon Blackshear (-455)

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